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Hurricane Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 32
2017-09-24 04:55:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 240255 PWSAT5 HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 0300 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 4(17) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 4(20) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 4(23) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 11(22) 3(25) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 11(23) 4(27) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 11(28) 4(32) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16) 2(18) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 27(37) 14(51) 3(54) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 3(17) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 2(13) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 18(25) 9(34) 2(36) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 23(32) 10(42) 3(45) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 21(29) 10(39) 2(41) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 15(21) 6(27) 2(29) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 12(17) 7(24) 1(25) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 12(18) 6(24) 2(26) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 4(16) 2(18) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 4(14) 1(15) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 1(12) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 10(12) SAN SALVADOR 34 3 X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tropical Storm Lee Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23
2017-09-24 04:55:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 240255 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 0300 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Hurricane Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31
2017-09-23 22:48:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 232047 PWSAT5 HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 5(17) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 6(22) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 5(15) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 6(25) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 4(16) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15(22) 7(29) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) 7(31) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 17(26) 8(34) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 17(30) 8(38) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 5(23) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 24(31) 18(49) 8(57) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 5(20) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 3(16) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 17(21) 13(34) 6(40) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 21(28) 13(41) 7(48) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 4(14) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 20(26) 12(38) 7(45) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 14(18) 9(27) 6(33) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) 8(23) 5(28) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 11(16) 7(23) 5(28) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 6(17) 4(21) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15) 3(18) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 3(14) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tropical Depression Eighteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2017-09-23 22:43:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 232042 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182017 2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) 1(13) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 2(14) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 3(13) 1(14) ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 7( 8) 22(30) 15(45) 6(51) 1(52) X(52) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 14(27) 2(29) 1(30) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) SAN BLAS 34 1 5( 6) 16(22) 12(34) 6(40) 1(41) X(41) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN BLAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) P VALLARTA 34 2 22(24) 19(43) 6(49) 2(51) 1(52) X(52) P VALLARTA 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 22 25(47) 6(53) 1(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 1 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MANZANILLO 34 13 16(29) 4(33) X(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) MANZANILLO 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 110W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Hurricane Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 30
2017-09-23 16:55:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 231455 PWSAT5 HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 1500 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 6(16) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 6(21) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 6(22) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 6(24) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15(22) 6(28) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 4(17) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 20(41) 8(49) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 5(15) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 3(14) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 13(29) 6(35) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 16(37) 6(43) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 14(33) 6(39) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 11(25) 5(30) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 10(22) 5(27) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 8(22) 5(27) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16) 4(20) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) 4(18) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 3(14) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GREAT EXUMA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN SALVADOR 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MAYAGUANA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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