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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-06 13:53:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 061153 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Sep 6 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Northwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL90): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system and weak frontal boundary over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico remain disorganized. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for significant development of this system while it meanders over the northwestern Gulf and eventually merges with another approaching frontal system later today or on Saturday. Although tropical cyclone development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected to continue across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day or so. Additional information on this system can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Northwestern Atlantic (AL99): Satellite images indicate that a gale-force low pressure system located several hundred miles east of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic coast is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that are increasingly taking on a non-tropical structure. The low is forecast to move north-northeastward at 15 to 20 mph offshore the northeastern United States, reaching colder waters by this evening and overnight, and its opportunity to acquire subtropical characteristics appears to be decreasing. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located near the coast of Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The wave is forecast to move across Central America and southeastern Mexico today and tonight, and some slow development is possible over the weekend after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the disturbance meanders through the early part of next week and then begins to move west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic during the middle to latter part of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Berg
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-06 07:16:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 060516 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Sep 6 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Northwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL90): Shower and thunderstorm activity has diminished tonight in association with a broad area of low pressure and a nearby weak front over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for significant development of this system while it meanders over the northwestern Gulf and eventually merges with an approaching frontal system later today or on Saturday. Although tropical cyclone development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected to continue across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day or so. Additional information on this system can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Northwestern Atlantic (AL99): Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization with a gale-force, non-tropical area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles east of North Carolina, and recent satellite wind data indicate a front extends into the low. This system could briefly acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next day or so while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern United States. The low is expected to move over cooler waters by early Saturday, and thereafter further development is not expected. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave. Development is not expected before the system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula later today. Some slow development is possible later this weekend after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, should be slow to occur during the early part of next week while the disturbance moves slowly northwestward or northward over the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-06 07:07:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 060507 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Sep 5 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form early next week off the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions could support gradual development of this system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category: Transportation and Logistics