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Tropical Storm Xavier Forecast Advisory Number 11

2018-11-05 09:40:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON NOV 05 2018 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 050839 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM XAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP252018 0900 UTC MON NOV 05 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 105.9W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT.......100NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 105.9W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 105.8W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.7N 106.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.9N 108.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.1N 109.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.2N 110.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.0N 112.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 105.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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