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Tropical Storm Xavier Forecast Advisory Number 4
2018-11-03 15:33:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT NOV 03 2018 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 031433 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM XAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP252018 1500 UTC SAT NOV 03 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 107.0W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 107.0W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 107.2W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.8N 106.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 16.6N 106.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.3N 106.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 17.4N 106.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 17.5N 111.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 18.0N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 107.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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