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Tropical Storm Xavier Forecast Advisory Number 8
2018-11-04 15:34:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN NOV 04 2018 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 041434 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM XAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP252018 1500 UTC SUN NOV 04 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF XAVIER. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 105.3W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 105.3W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 105.3W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.1N 105.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.5N 106.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.8N 107.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.1N 109.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.3N 111.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 19.2N 113.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 105.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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