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Tropical Storm Hernan Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

2020-08-28 10:09:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2020 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 280809 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM HERNAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132020 0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERNAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 3 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) LA PAZ 34 X 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Storm Hernan Forecast Advisory Number 9

2020-08-28 10:09:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2020 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 280808 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132020 0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HERNAN. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 107.3W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 107.3W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 106.8W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 23.6N 108.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 24.2N 110.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 107.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Summary for Tropical Storm Hernan (EP3/EP132020)

2020-08-28 08:25:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...HERNAN LOCATED NORTHEAST OF PREVIOUS ESTIMATES... ...UPDATED POSITION WILL BE REFLECTED IN THE NEXT ADVISORY... As of 12:30 AM MDT Fri Aug 28 the center of Hernan was located near 22.5, -107.0 with movement NW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm Hernan Update Statement

2020-08-28 08:25:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1230 AM MDT Fri Aug 28 2020 000 WTPZ63 KNHC 280625 TCUEP3 Tropical Storm Hernan Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132020 1230 AM MDT Fri Aug 28 2020 ...HERNAN LOCATED NORTHEAST OF PREVIOUS ESTIMATES... ...UPDATED POSITION WILL BE REFLECTED IN THE NEXT ADVISORY... Recent satellite-based wind data indicate that Hernan is located northeast of previous estimates. The updated position will be reflected in the next advisory, by 300 AM MDT. The satellite data also indicated that the maximum winds remain 35 kt. SUMMARY OF 1230 AM MDT...0630 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.5N 107.0W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NNW OF ISLA MARIA MADRE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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