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Tropical Storm Hernan Forecast Advisory Number 5

2020-08-27 10:42:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2020 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 270842 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132020 0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 106.0W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 70SE 90SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 150SE 120SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 106.0W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 105.8W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.5N 106.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 20.7N 107.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.9N 108.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.7N 110.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.7N 112.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.4N 114.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 106.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Summary for Tropical Storm Hernan (EP3/EP132020)

2020-08-27 10:42:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...HERNAN STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY WHILE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OFFSHORE THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 3:00 AM MDT Thu Aug 27 the center of Hernan was located near 18.6, -106.0 with movement N at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm Hernan Public Advisory Number 5

2020-08-27 10:42:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 300 AM MDT Thu Aug 27 2020 762 WTPZ33 KNHC 270842 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Hernan Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132020 300 AM MDT Thu Aug 27 2020 ...HERNAN STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY WHILE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OFFSHORE THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.6N 106.0W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 390 MI...625 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hernan was located near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 106.0 West. Hernan is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue this morning. A turn toward the northwest is forecast by this afternoon, followed by a west-northwestward motion on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Hernan, along with the strongest winds and heaviest rains, is expected to remain just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so. A weakening trend is expected to begin by early Friday, and Hernan is forecast to become a remnant low Friday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center, mainly to the south and southwest of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Summary for Tropical Storm Hernan (EP3/EP132020)

2020-08-27 04:43:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...HERNAN MOVING NORTHWARD NOW... ...EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 10:00 PM CDT Wed Aug 26 the center of Hernan was located near 18.3, -105.8 with movement N at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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