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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-19 01:54:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 182354 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Oct 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. This system has become less organized since yesterday, however, environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for development and a tropical depression is still likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another trough of low pressure has developed within a large area of disturbed weather that extends from Central America westward to south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the next few days while it moves slowly westward, near the coast of southern Mexico. Additional information on the broad area of disturbed weather that extends from Central America to south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-18 19:39:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181739 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An extensive area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extends from Central America westward to the south of the coast of Mexico for several hundred miles. A broad area of low pressure is embedded within this region of disturbed weather near the Gulf of Tehuantepec, but satellite images indicate that the system has lost organization compared to the past couple of days. Still, environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && For additional information on the low near the Gulf of Tehuantepec please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-18 13:28:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181128 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Oct 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec have changed little in organization overnight. However, environmental conditions appear conducive for development once the system moves west of the Gulf of Tehuantepec, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or two. The low is forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph for the next several days, near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing only limited shower activity. Development of this system, if any, should be slow to occur during the next few days while the system remains nearly stationary or drifts slowly northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && For additional information on the low near the Gulf of Tehuantepec please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-18 07:00:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 180500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Oct 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec has changed little in organization over the past several hours. However, environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or two. The system is forecast to move generally toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph for the next several days, near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become less defined since yesterday and is producing only limited shower activity. Development of this system, if any, should be slow to occur during the next few days while the system remains nearly stationary or drifts slowly northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-18 01:05:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 172305 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Oct 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Visible satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located just south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is slowly becoming better defined, however, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is still disorganized. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or two. The system is forecast to move generally toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph for the next several days, near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers. Development, if any, should should be slow to occur during the next few days while the system remains nearly stationary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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