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Tropical Storm Zeta Forecast Advisory Number 20
2020-10-29 15:51:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 29 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 291451 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 1500 UTC THU OCT 29 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 81.5W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 42 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 180SE 60SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 81.5W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 83.6W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 39.4N 73.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 150SE 90SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 300SE 360SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 42.0N 60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 300SE 360SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.5N 81.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 29/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Storm Zeta Public Advisory Number 19A
2020-10-29 12:48:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 291148 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Zeta Intermediate Advisory Number 19A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 800 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020 ...ZETA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.3N 83.5W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM W OF ASHEVILLE NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 39 MPH...63 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning from Navarre to the Walton/Bay County Line, Florida has been canceled. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was located near latitude 35.3 North, longitude 83.5 West. Zeta is racing toward the northeast near 39 mph (63 km/h). An even faster northeastward motion is expected later today, followed by a rapid east-northeastward motion tonight and Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will move across portions of the southeastern U.S. this morning, across the Mid-Atlantic states this afternoon, and emerge over the western Atlantic by tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Zeta is expected to become a non-tropical gale-force low later today. The low should become absorbed by a frontal system over the western Atlantic by Friday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. A sustained wind of 41 mph (67 km/h) and a gust to 82 mph (131 km/h) was recently reported at Cashiers, North Carolina. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 990 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml. STORM SURGE: Water levels along the Central Gulf coast will gradually subside throughout the day. Consult products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office for additional information. WIND: Damaging winds, especially in gusts, are spreading across northern Georgia, western South Carolina, and western North Carolina. These winds will shift into other portions of North Carolina and southeastern Virginia later today. Wind gusts could be especially severe across the southern Appalachian Mountains. RAINFALL: Areas of heavy rainfall, both in advance of Zeta and along the track of Zeta, will impact areas from the central Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic and lower to middle Ohio Valley through Thursday. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected across these areas, resulting in possible flash, urban, small stream, and isolated minor river flooding. TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible later today over the Carolinas and southern Virginia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm Zeta Forecast Advisory Number 19
2020-10-29 09:40:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 29 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 290840 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 0900 UTC THU OCT 29 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. INFORMATION ON ONGOING COASTAL FLOODING CAN BE FOUND IN COASTAL FLOOD PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO WEST OF NAVARRE...FLORIDA...HAS BEEN CANCELED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NAVARRE TO WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 85.5W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 34 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 150SE 40SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 240SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 85.5W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 87.5W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 37.7N 79.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 40.8N 66.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 200SE 200SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 43.4N 54.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 240SE 270SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.0N 85.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 29/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Storm Zeta Public Advisory Number 19
2020-10-29 09:39:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Thu Oct 29 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 290839 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Zeta Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 400 AM CDT Thu Oct 29 2020 ...ZETA PRODUCING DAMAGING GUSTY WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 85.5W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM WNW OF ATLANTA GEORGIA ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM ENE OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 39 MPH...63 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued. Information on ongoing coastal flooding can be found in coastal flood products issued by local National Weather Service offices. The Tropical Storm Warning from the Mississippi-Alabama border to west of Navarre, Florida, has been canceled. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Navarre to Walton/Bay County Line Florida A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was located near latitude 34.0 North, longitude 85.5 West. Zeta is racing toward the northeast near 39 mph (63 km/h). An even faster northeastward motion is expected later today, followed by a rapid east-northeastward motion tonight and Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will move across portions of the southeastern U.S. this morning, across the Mid-Atlantic states this afternoon, and emerge over the western Atlantic by tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Zeta is expected to become a non-tropical gale-force low later today. The low should become absorbed by a frontal system over the western Atlantic by Friday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml. STORM SURGE: Water levels along the Central Gulf coast will gradually subside throughout the day. Consult products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office for additional information. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue within the warning area near the northern Gulf Coast for a few more hours. Damaging winds, especially in gusts, are spreading well inland across portions of central and northern Alabama, and northern Georgia, and these winds will shift into eastern Tennessee, the Carolinas, and southeastern Virginia later today. Wind gusts could be especially severe across the southern Appalachian Mountains. RAINFALL: Areas of heavy rainfall, both in advance of Zeta and along the track of Zeta, will impact areas from the central Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic and lower to middle Ohio Valley through Thursday. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected across these areas, resulting in possible flash, urban, small stream, and isolated minor river flooding. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes could occur this morning from parts of the Florida Panhandle across southeastern Alabama and Georgia. A tornado or two is possible later today over the Carolinas and southern Virginia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Hurricane Zeta Public Advisory Number 18A
2020-10-29 07:00:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Thu Oct 29 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 290600 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Zeta Intermediate Advisory Number 18A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 100 AM CDT Thu Oct 29 2020 ...ZETA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA... ...STRONG WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.9N 87.4W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SSE OF TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 31 MPH...50 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane and Storm Surge Warnings for the Mississippi coast have been discontinued. The Storm Surge Warning for the Florida Panhandle has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * From the Mississippi/Alabama border to the Alabama/Florida border * Mobile Bay A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Mississippi/Alabama border to Walton/Bay County Line Florida A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was located near latitude 32.9 North, longitude 87.4 West. Zeta is moving quickly toward the northeast near 31 mph (50 km/h). An even faster northeastward motion is expected later today, followed by a rapid east-northeastward motion tonight and Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will move across portions of the southeastern U.S. this morning, across the Mid-Atlantic states this afternoon, and emerge over the western Atlantic by tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected, and Zeta should decay into a non-tropical gale-force low later today. The low should become absorbed by a frontal system over the western Atlantic on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). An observation in Wetumpka, Alabama, recently reported sustained winds of 44 mph (71 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml. STORM SURGE: Along the northern Gulf Coast, the combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... MS/AL to AL/FL border including Mobile Bay...3-5 ft Mouth of the Atchafalaya River to AL boarder including Lake Maurepas, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake Borgne ...1-3 ft AL/FL Boarder to Yankeetown FL including Pensacola Bay, Choctawhatchee Bay and Saint Andrew Bay...1-3 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue within the warning area near the northern Gulf Coast during the next few hours. Damaging winds, especially in gusts, are spreading well inland across portions of central and northern Alabama, and northern Georgia, and these winds will shift into the Carolinas and southeastern Virginia later today. Wind gusts could be especially severe across the southern Appalachian Mountains. RAINFALL: Areas of heavy rainfall, both in advance of Zeta and along the track of Zeta, will impact areas from the central Gulf Coast to the Mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys, and east into the southern to central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic today. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts of 6 inches are expected across these areas, resulting in flash, urban, small stream, and minor river flooding. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible over parts of southern Alabama and the western Panhandle of Florida during the next few hours. An isolated tornado or two is possible later today across much of the Carolinas and southern Virginia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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