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Tropical Depression Twenty-Nine Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-10-31 21:48:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 31 2020 771 WTNT24 KNHC 312048 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 2100 UTC SAT OCT 31 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTRIES LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 73.2W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 73.2W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 72.4W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.1N 75.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.4N 78.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.5N 80.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.1N 82.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.3N 83.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 70SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.8N 83.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 70SE 70SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 13.5N 85.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 14.0N 86.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 73.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Public Advisory Number 21
2020-10-29 21:36:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 292036 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Advisory Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 500 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020 ...ZETA ZOOMING OFFSHORE THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TOWARD THE WESTERN ATLANTIC... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.8N 75.3W ABOUT 25 MI...35 KM WSW OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 55 MPH...89 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta was located near latitude 38.8 North, longitude 75.3 West. Zeta is moving toward the east-northeast near 55 mph (89 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will emerge over the western Atlantic this evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast tonight, but the cyclone should become absorbed by a frontal system on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) mainly to the southeast of the center. A sustained wind of 39 mph (63 km/h) and a gust to 46 mph (74 km/h) were recently reported at Ocean City, Maryland. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml. WIND: A few strong gusts are still possible across portions of extreme eastern North Carolina, southeastern Virginia, and the southern Delmarva Peninsula during the next couple of hours. RAINFALL: The last of the heavy rainfall along the track of Zeta will impact the Mid-Atlantic through this evening. Additional rainfall totals of an inch or less are expected across these areas, possibly resulting in flash, urban, small stream, and isolated minor river flooding. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Berg
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Forecast Advisory Number 21
2020-10-29 21:36:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 29 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 292036 TCMAT3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 2100 UTC THU OCT 29 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 75.3W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 48 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 270SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 75.3W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 78.2W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 41.0N 66.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 90SE 120SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 240SE 360SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.8N 75.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Public Advisory Number 20A
2020-10-29 19:02:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 291802 CCA TCPAT3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta Intermediate Advisory Number 20A...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 200 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020 Corrected Tropical Storm to Post-Tropical Cyclone in Discussion and Outlook section ...ZETA BECOMES POST-TROPICAL... ...STILL PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.8N 78.2W ABOUT 25 MI...45 KM SSE OF CHARLOTTESVILLE VIRGINIA ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM WNW OF RICHMOND VIRGINIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 53 MPH...85 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Zeta was located near latitude 37.8 North, longitude 78.2 West. Zeta is moving rapidly toward the east-northeast near 53 mph (85 km/h). An even faster motion toward the east-northeast is expected tonight and on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will continue to move across Virginia this afternoon, and emerge over the western Atlantic by this evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast once Zeta moves over the western Atlantic, but the cyclone should become absorbed by a frontal system by Friday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km) mainly to the southeast of the center. A sustained wind of 51 mph (82 km/h) and a gust to 72 mph (116 km/h) were recently reported at a station in Conway, North Carolina, to the east of Roanoke Rapids. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml. WIND: Damaging winds, especially in gusts, will continue to spread across portions of eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia through this evening. RAINFALL: Areas of heavy rainfall, both in advance of Zeta and along the track of Zeta, will impact areas from the central Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic and lower to middle Ohio Valley through Thursday. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected across these areas, resulting in possible flash, urban, small stream, and isolated minor river flooding. TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible this afternoon across the Carolinas and southern Virginia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm Zeta Public Advisory Number 20
2020-10-29 15:52:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 291452 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Zeta Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 1100 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020 ...ZETA STILL PRODUCING STRONG INLAND WINDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.5N 81.5W ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM NE OF ASHEVILLE NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 48 MPH...78 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was located near latitude 36.5 North, longitude 81.5 West. Zeta is moving toward the northeast near 48 mph (78 km/h). An even faster northeastward motion is expected later today, followed by a rapid east-northeastward motion tonight and Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will move across the Mid-Atlantic states this afternoon, and emerge over the western Atlantic by tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Zeta is expected to become a non-tropical gale-force low later today. The low should become absorbed by a frontal system over the western Atlantic by Friday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. A sustained wind of 38 mph (61 km/h) and a gust to 51 mph (82 km/h) were recently reported at the Greensboro Piedmont Triad International Airport. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml. WIND: Damaging winds, especially in gusts, continue to spread across portions of South Carolina and North Carolina. These winds will spread into southeastern Virginia during the next few hours. RAINFALL: Areas of heavy rainfall, both in advance of Zeta and along the track of Zeta, will impact areas from the central Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic and lower to middle Ohio Valley through Thursday. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected across these areas, resulting in possible flash, urban, small stream, and isolated minor river flooding. TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible today across the Carolinas and southern Virginia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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