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Tropical Storm Beta Forecast Advisory Number 5
2020-09-18 22:52:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 182052 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020 INTERESTS ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BETA. STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF COAST TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 93.1W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 93.1W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 93.3W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.1N 92.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 25.9N 93.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 26.1N 93.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.3N 94.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.5N 95.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 26.8N 96.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 27.5N 96.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N 96.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 93.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Subtropical Storm Alpha Public Advisory Number 2
2020-09-18 22:51:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 900 PM GMT Fri Sep 18 2020 000 WTNT34 KNHC 182051 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Alpha Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL242020 900 PM GMT Fri Sep 18 2020 ...ALPHA MAKES LANDFALL IN PORTUGAL... ...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON SATURDAY... SUMMARY OF 900 PM GMT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.4N 8.4W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM NNE OF LISBON PORTUGAL MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal tropical cyclone watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Portugal should monitor the progress of Alpha. Additional information on this system can be found in products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at www.ipma.pt. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM GMT (2100 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Alpha was located near latitude 40.4 North, longitude 8.4 West. The storm is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general motion is expected during the next day or so. Alpha should move across northern Portugal and Spain before dissipating on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. The storm should weaken into a depression overnight and a remnant low pressure area on Saturday. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...Information on wind hazards from Alpha can be found in products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at www.ipma.pt. RAINFALL...Alpha is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 mm) of rainfall, with isolated amounts of 3 inches (75 mm) over the northern portion of Portugal and into west-central Spain through Saturday morning. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Subtropical Storm Alpha Forecast Advisory Number 2
2020-09-18 22:49:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020 248 WTNT24 KNHC 182049 TCMAT4 SUBTROPICAL STORM ALPHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242020 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN PORTUGAL SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ALPHA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PRODUCTS FROM THE PORTUGUESE INSTITUTE FOR SEA AND ATMOSPHERE AT WWW.IPMA.PT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.4N 8.4W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.4N 8.4W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 9.0W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 42.1N 6.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.4N 8.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Storm Wilfred Public Advisory Number 2
2020-09-18 22:44:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Sep 18 2020 901 WTNT33 KNHC 182043 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Wilfred Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL232020 500 PM AST Fri Sep 18 2020 ...WILFRED COULD STRENGTHEN OVERNIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.5N 34.4W ABOUT 735 MI...1185 KM WSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Wilfred was located near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 34.4 West. Wilfred is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Wilfred could strengthen a little overnight and Saturday before weakening likely begins by Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Storm Wilfred Forecast Advisory Number 2
2020-09-18 22:44:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020 900 WTNT23 KNHC 182043 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM WILFRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232020 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 34.4W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 120SE 30SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 34.4W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 33.7W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 13.2N 36.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.3N 39.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.4N 42.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.4N 45.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.1N 48.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.5N 50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 34.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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