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Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 15
2020-09-10 16:37:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 101437 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 1500 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 49.1W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 70SE 60SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 120SE 210SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 49.1W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 48.7W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.8N 50.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 40SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 22.6N 52.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 0SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 23.8N 54.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 50SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 25.4N 56.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 40SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 26.9N 58.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 40SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 28.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 50SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 30.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 32.5N 65.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 49.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Storm Rene Public Advisory Number 13
2020-09-10 10:38:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Thu Sep 10 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 100838 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rene Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 AM AST Thu Sep 10 2020 ...RENE CONTINUING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 34.8W ABOUT 730 MI...1175 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rene was located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 34.8 West. Rene is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue for a couple of days, followed by a turn toward the northwest. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Rene is expected to be near hurricane strength by Friday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Rene Forecast Advisory Number 13
2020-09-10 10:38:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 100838 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 0900 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 34.8W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 34.8W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 34.3W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.6N 36.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.1N 38.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 19.8N 40.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.0N 42.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.4N 44.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 24.1N 45.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 27.0N 47.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 28.6N 49.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 34.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm Paulette Public Advisory Number 14
2020-09-10 10:36:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Thu Sep 10 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 100836 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 500 AM AST Thu Sep 10 2020 ...PAULETTE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOON... ...RESTRENGTHENING FORECAST OVER THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.9N 49.0W ABOUT 935 MI...1505 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 1250 MI...2015 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. Please consult products from your local weather office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was located near latitude 20.9 North, longitude 49.0 West. Paulette is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Friday. A northwestward motion should begin Friday evening and continue into the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next couple of days. Restrengthening is expected to commence over the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are expected to reach portions of the Leeward Islands Thursday night and Friday and will continue to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, and Bermuda into the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 14
2020-09-10 10:35:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 100835 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 0900 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 49.0W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT.......180NE 60SE 60SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 90SE 210SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 49.0W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 48.5W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.3N 50.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 50SE 30SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 21.8N 52.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 40SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 22.8N 54.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 30SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 24.1N 55.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 30SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 25.7N 57.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 20SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 27.1N 59.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 40SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 29.7N 63.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 32.0N 64.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 49.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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