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Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 20
2020-09-11 22:50:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 112049 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 2100 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAULETTE. A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR THE ISLAND TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 53.7W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 70SE 60SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 270SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 53.7W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 53.2W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 25.9N 55.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 70SE 60SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 27.5N 57.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 70SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 28.7N 59.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 70SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 29.8N 62.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.1N 64.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.6N 65.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 36.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 39.0N 56.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 53.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Storm Paulette Public Advisory Number 19
2020-09-11 16:44:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Fri Sep 11 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 111444 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 1100 AM AST Fri Sep 11 2020 ...PAULETTE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT... ...SWELLS FORECAST TO SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE WEEKEND INCREASING RIP CURRENT THREAT... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.6N 52.2W ABOUT 795 MI...1280 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 975 MI...1570 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Paulette. Please consult products from your local weather office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was located near latitude 23.6 North, longitude 52.2 West. Paulette is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A motion toward the northwest or west-northwest with some increase in forward speed is expected through early Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Paulette should approach Bermuda Sunday night and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Paulette is expected to become a hurricane Saturday or Saturday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the Leeward Islands and will continue to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, Bermuda, and the southeastern United States into the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 19
2020-09-11 16:43:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 111443 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 1500 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAULETTE. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 52.2W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 70SE 60SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 300SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 52.2W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 51.7W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 24.6N 53.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 70SE 60SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.1N 55.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.6N 57.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 28.9N 59.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 30.2N 62.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.6N 64.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 34.5N 63.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 37.0N 58.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 52.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 18
2020-09-11 11:11:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 110911 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 0900 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAULETTE. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 51.7W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 70SE 60SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 150SE 270SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 51.7W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 51.2W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 23.9N 53.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 70SE 60SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 25.3N 54.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 70SE 50SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 26.8N 56.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 28.2N 58.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 29.5N 61.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 30.7N 63.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 33.5N 64.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 36.0N 59.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 51.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm Rene Public Advisory Number 17
2020-09-11 10:41:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Fri Sep 11 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 110841 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rene Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 AM AST Fri Sep 11 2020 ...RENE HEADING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.7N 38.5W ABOUT 985 MI...1585 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rene was located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 38.5 West. Rene is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue through Friday night, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Saturday. A north-northwestward and northward motion with a decrease in forward speed is forecast Sunday and Sunday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the couple of days. Afterward, weakening is expected to begin by Sunday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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