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Tropical Depression Julio Forecast Advisory Number 6
2020-09-07 04:40:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 07 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 070240 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152020 0300 UTC MON SEP 07 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 111.3W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 111.3W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 110.7W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.5N 113.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.5N 114.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.3N 115.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 111.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression Seventeen Public Advisory Number 1
2020-09-07 04:32:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 06 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 070232 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Seventeen Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 06 2020 ...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 41.5W ABOUT 1160 MI...1865 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1425 MI...2290 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Seventeen was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 41.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h) and this motion is forecast to continue into Monday. By late Monday and Tuesday, a turn toward the west-northwest is expected, and that motion should continue into Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Depression Seventeen Forecast Advisory Number 1
2020-09-07 04:31:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 07 2020 874 WTNT22 KNHC 070231 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 0300 UTC MON SEP 07 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 41.5W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 41.5W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 41.3W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.0N 42.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.2N 42.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.5N 43.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.0N 44.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.6N 46.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.2N 48.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 20.4N 51.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 21.2N 55.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 41.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm Julio Public Advisory Number 5
2020-09-06 22:33:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Sun Sep 06 2020 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 062032 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Julio Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152020 300 PM MDT Sun Sep 06 2020 ...COMPACT JULIO MOVING AWAY FROM MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.3N 110.0W ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julio was located near latitude 19.3 North, longitude 110.0 West. Julio is moving toward the west-northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h). A fairly quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected through early Monday. A much slower westward motion is forecast after that. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected during the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Julio Forecast Advisory Number 5
2020-09-06 22:32:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 06 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 062032 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152020 2100 UTC SUN SEP 06 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 110.0W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 110.0W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 109.3W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.6N 112.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.7N 114.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.6N 115.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.4N 116.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.2N 116.7W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 110.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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