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Subtropical Depression Four Public Advisory Number 4

2020-06-23 16:50:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Jun 23 2020 000 WTNT34 KNHC 231450 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Subtropical Depression Four Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042020 1100 AM AST Tue Jun 23 2020 ...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION HEADING FOR COLDER WATERS... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.5N 62.1W ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM SSE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA ABOUT 670 MI...1080 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Depression Four was located near latitude 39.5 North, longitude 62.1 West. The depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected tonight and on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or two, but the depression is expected to degenerate into a remnant low on Wednesday and dissipate by early Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Subtropical Depression Four Forecast Advisory Number 4

2020-06-23 16:50:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 23 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 231449 TCMAT4 SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042020 1500 UTC TUE JUN 23 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 62.1W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 62.1W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 62.6W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 40.6N 60.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 42.3N 58.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 44.2N 55.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 62.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Subtropical Depression Four Public Advisory Number 3

2020-06-23 10:15:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST Tue Jun 23 2020 515 WTNT34 KNHC 230815 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Subtropical Depression Four Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042020 500 AM AST Tue Jun 23 2020 ...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHEASTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.3N 63.4W ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA ABOUT 730 MI...1170 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Depression Four was located near latitude 39.3 North, longitude 63.4 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for next couple of days with some increase in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, with the system likely weakening and transitioning into a post-tropical cyclone on Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake

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Subtropical Depression Four Forecast Advisory Number 3

2020-06-23 10:15:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUN 23 2020 427 WTNT24 KNHC 230815 TCMAT4 SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042020 0900 UTC TUE JUN 23 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 63.4W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 63.4W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 64.0W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 40.0N 61.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 41.4N 59.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 43.3N 56.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 45.3N 53.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N 63.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Subtropical Depression Four Public Advisory Number 2

2020-06-23 04:34:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Jun 22 2020 000 WTNT34 KNHC 230234 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Subtropical Depression Four Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042020 1100 PM AST Mon Jun 22 2020 ...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM LAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.7N 64.6W ABOUT 335 MI...535 KM ESE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Depression Four was located near latitude 38.7 North, longitude 64.6 West. The depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h) and a turn toward the northeast with some increase in forward speed is expected during the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible early Tuesday, and the subtropical depression could briefly become a subtropical storm. Slow weakening is expected to begin by Tuesday afternoon or evening. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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