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Tropical Storm Edouard Public Advisory Number 9
2020-07-06 16:42:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Mon Jul 06 2020 208 WTNT35 KNHC 061442 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Edouard Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 1100 AM AST Mon Jul 06 2020 ...EDOUARD RACING NORTHEASTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.8N 50.0W ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 37 MPH...59 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Edouard was located near latitude 40.8 North, longitude 50.0 West. Edouard is moving toward the northeast near 37 mph (59 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is forecast before Edouard is forecast to become post-tropical later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Edouard Forecast Advisory Number 9
2020-07-06 16:41:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUL 06 2020 618 WTNT25 KNHC 061441 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052020 1500 UTC MON JUL 06 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.8N 50.0W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 32 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 70SE 40SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 150SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.8N 50.0W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 51.7W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 43.2N 44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 80SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 46.7N 37.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 50.0N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 53.0N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.8N 50.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Storm Edouard Graphics
2020-07-06 10:47:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 06 Jul 2020 08:47:10 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 06 Jul 2020 09:24:44 GMT
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Tropical Storm Edouard Forecast Discussion Number 8
2020-07-06 10:45:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Mon Jul 06 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 060845 TCDAT5 Tropical Storm Edouard Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 500 AM AST Mon Jul 06 2020 Satellite imagery indicates that Edouard is comprised of an exposed swirl of low- to mid-level clouds with a strong cluster of convection over the northeastern quadrant. Various subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates range from 35-45 kt, and the initial intensity is held at a possibly conservative 35 kt. Due to the rapid motion, it is possible that the system no longer has a closed circulation. However, there is not enough evidence of this to justify stopping advisories at this time. The initial motion is quickly northeastward or 055/31. Edouard is embedded in strong southwesterly mid-latitude flow, and a fast motion toward the northeast should continue until the cyclone dissipates. The new track forecast is little changed from the previous forecast, and it lies near the center of the tightly clustered model guidance. The cyclone is located in a region of strong southwesterly vertical wind shear, is heading for colder water, and is approaching a frontal system. This combination should lead to extratropical transition between 12-24 h, and it is possible that Edouard could strengthen a little as transition occurs. After transition, the extratropical low should persist for another 24 h or so before the circulation dissipates. The new intensity forecast is unchanged from the previous forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/0900Z 39.0N 53.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 06/1800Z 41.3N 48.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 07/0600Z 44.7N 41.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 07/1800Z 48.0N 33.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 08/0600Z 51.6N 25.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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Summary for Tropical Storm Edouard (AT5/AL052020)
2020-07-06 10:45:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EDOUARD MOVING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY... As of 5:00 AM AST Mon Jul 6 the center of Edouard was located near 39.0, -53.6 with movement NE at 36 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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