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Subtropical Storm Leslie Graphics
2018-09-23 22:36:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 23 Sep 2018 20:36:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 23 Sep 2018 20:36:36 GMT
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Summary for Subtropical Storm Leslie (AT3/AL132018)
2018-09-23 22:35:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS... As of 5:00 PM AST Sun Sep 23 the center of Leslie was located near 33.5, -47.2 with movement W at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Subtropical Storm Leslie Public Advisory Number 2
2018-09-23 22:35:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018 619 WTNT33 KNHC 232034 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 500 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018 ...SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.5N 47.2W ABOUT 1170 MI...1885 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Leslie was located near latitude 33.5 North, longitude 47.2 West. The storm is moving toward the west near 3 mph (6 km/h), and little motion is anticipated during the next 2 days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. No important changes in intensity are anticipated, and Leslie is forecast to become absorbed by a larger non-tropical low by the middle of the week. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Subtropical Storm Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2018-09-23 22:35:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018 627 FONT13 KNHC 232034 PWSAT3 SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Subtropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 2
2018-09-23 22:34:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018 497 WTNT23 KNHC 232034 TCMAT3 SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 47.2W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 47.2W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 47.0W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 33.4N 47.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 33.2N 48.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 33.2N 46.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 140SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 33.0N 44.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 170SE 20SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.5N 47.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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