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Subtropical Storm Ana Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2021-05-22 16:38:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT MAY 22 2021 000 FONT11 KNHC 221438 PWSAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012021 1500 UTC SAT MAY 22 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Subtropical Storm Ana Forecast Advisory Number 2
2021-05-22 16:37:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT MAY 22 2021 000 WTNT21 KNHC 221437 TCMAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012021 1500 UTC SAT MAY 22 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OF WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 63.0W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 50SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 240SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 63.0W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 62.8W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 34.8N 62.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 35.8N 61.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 37.2N 57.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 39.7N 52.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.3N 63.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Subtropical Storm Ana Graphics
2021-05-22 14:22:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 22 May 2021 12:22:40 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 22 May 2021 09:22:27 GMT
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Summary for Subtropical Storm Ana (AT1/AL012021)
2021-05-22 13:36:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ANA MOVING SLOWLY WHILE CENTERED NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA... As of 8:00 AM AST Sat May 22 the center of Ana was located near 34.2, -62.5 with movement WSW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Subtropical Storm Ana Public Advisory Number 1A
2021-05-22 13:36:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM AST Sat May 22 2021 000 WTNT31 KNHC 221136 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Ana Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021 800 AM AST Sat May 22 2021 ...ANA MOVING SLOWLY WHILE CENTERED NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.2N 62.5W ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM NE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Ana was located near latitude 34.2 North, longitude 62.5 West. The storm is moving toward the west-southwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A continued slow and erratic motion is expected through tonight, followed by a faster northeastward motion on Sunday and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today, but gradual weakening is expected tonight and Sunday. Ana is expected to dissipate in a couple of days. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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