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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-06-15 13:48:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 151148 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT MON JUN 15 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Thunderstorm activity with the broad area of low pressure in the south-central Gulf of Mexico has become a little more concentrated this morning. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft is just now beginning its investigation of the system, and will help to determine whether the low-level circulation has become any better defined since yesterday. Satellite observations overnight suggest that the low continues to produce tropical-storm-force winds well to the east and northeast of the center. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more favorable for development while this system moves northwestward across the western Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form at any time before the system reaches the Texas coast sometime tomorrow. Interests in and along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, tropical storm conditions are possible along portions of the middle and upper Texas coast and the western Louisiana coast Monday night and Tuesday. The system is also likely to bring heavy rainfall with possible flooding across portions of eastern Texas and western Louisiana. For additional information, please see High Seas Forecasts and products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent && High Seas Forecasts can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Franklin
Tags: weather
atlantic
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-06-15 08:00:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 150600 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT MON JUN 15 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Surface observations and satellite data indicate that the broad area of low pressure over the south-central Gulf of Mexico has changed little over the past several hours. The system's circulation is not well-defined, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. The low continues to produce tropical storm force winds well to the east and northeast of the center. Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more favorable while this system moves northwestward during the next day or two across the western Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form during that time. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later this morning. Interests in and along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, tropical storm conditions are possible along portions of the middle and upper Texas coast and the western Louisiana coast Monday night and Tuesday. There is also a risk of heavy rainfall and possible flooding across portions of eastern Texas and western Louisiana. For additional information, please see High Seas Forecasts and products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent && High Seas Forecasts can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-06-15 01:15:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 142315 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Data from an Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that a broad area of low pressure has formed in association with the surface trough and upper-level low over the south-central Gulf of Mexico. However, the low's circulation is not well-defined, and the current shower and thunderstorm activity remains somewhat disorganized. The aircraft also found a large area of tropical storm force winds well to the north and northeast of the low. Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more favorable while this system moves northwestward during the next couple of days across the western Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form during that time. Another Hurricane Hunter aircraft will investigate this system Monday morning. Interests in and along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, tropical storm conditions are possible along portions of the middle and upper Texas coast and the western Louisiana coast Monday night and Tuesday. There is also a risk of heavy rainfall and possible flooding across portions of eastern Texas and western Louisiana. For additional information, please see High Seas Forecasts and products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent && High Seas Forecasts can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-06-14 19:42:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 141742 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A surface trough of low pressure has moved off of the Yucatan peninsula and into the southern Gulf of Mexico this afternoon. The system is accompanied by an area of thunderstorms and winds to near gale force well to the east of the trough, but it does not yet have a well-defined closed circulation. This weather system is expected to move northwestward over the next couple of days across the western Gulf of Mexico, where upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more favorable for tropical cyclone formation. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft will investigate the system late this afternoon, with another mission planned for Monday morning. Interests in and along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. For additional information, please see High Seas forecasts as well as products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent && High Seas Forecasts can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Franklin
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-06-14 13:41:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 141141 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SUN JUN 14 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A sharp trough of surface low pressure across the Yucatan Peninsula, in combination with an upper-level low over the Gulf of Mexico, continues to produce showers and thunderstorms over portions of Guatemala, Belize, the Yucatan, and adjacent waters. Upper-level winds are expected to become more favorable for some development over the next day or two as the system moves northwestward into the western Gulf of Mexico, and an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon. Heavy rains are expected to continue over these areas today, along with winds to near gale force over portions of the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent && High Seas Forecasts can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Franklin
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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