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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-10-12 16:36:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 121436 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1035 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fay, located northeast of Bermuda. Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion of the low pressure system located east of the Leeward Islands. Updated: The small low pressure system located a couple of hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is continuing to show signs of organization. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft will be investigating the system this afternoon to determine if a tropical depression or a tropical storm has formed. Environmental and ocean conditions are expected to generally be conducive for additional development while the low moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. Interests from the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico to Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system since tropical storm warnings and watches could be required for portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico later this morning or afternoon. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds are expected to move across the Leeward Islands starting later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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atlantic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-10-12 13:44:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 121144 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fay, located just northeast of Bermuda. Thunderstorm activity associated with a small but well-defined low pressure system located about 275 miles east of the Leeward Islands has continued to increase and become better organized during the past several hours. Environmental and ocean conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form later today while the low moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. Interests from the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico to Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas should monitor the progress of this disturbance. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected to move across the Leeward Islands starting later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-10-12 07:43:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 120543 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fay, located just south of Bermuda. Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a small low pressure area located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands continue to show signs of organization. Although dry air may hamper development, the overall environment is expected to be generally conducive, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or so. The low is forecast to move westward at around 10 mph, and interests from the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico to Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas should monitor its progress. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rains and gusty winds are expected to move across the Leeward Islands starting later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-10-12 01:10:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 112310 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fay, located south of Bermuda. Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a small low pressure area located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands have become better organized during the past several hours. Although dry air may hamper development, the overall environment is expected to be generally conducive, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or so. The low is forecast to move westward at around 10 mph, and interests from the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico to Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas should monitor its progress. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this disturbance on Sunday afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rains and gusty winds are expected to move across the Leeward Islands starting early Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent. Widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms, located several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands, are associated with a westward-moving tropical wave. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable, and significant development of this system is unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-10-11 19:56:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 111756 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fay, located a few hundred miles south of Bermuda. Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a small low pressure area located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands have become somewhat better organized during the past several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form by early next week. The low is expected to move westward or west-northwestward at around 10 mph, and interests from the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico to Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas should monitor its progress. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this disturbance on Sunday afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent. Widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms, located several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands, are associated with a westward-moving tropical wave. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable, and significant development of this system is unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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