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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-09-14 01:35:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 132335 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Edouard, located about 1100 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. The area of low pressure located over the east-central Gulf of Mexico has continued to become less defined this afternoon and the associated shower activity is minimal. Upper-level winds are not conducive for development, and the low will most likely degenerate into a trough of low pressure while it moves westward across the Gulf of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has diminished today, and development of this system is unlikely to occur as it moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain
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atlantic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-09-13 19:33:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131733 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Edouard, located about 1000 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. The area of low pressure over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico is becoming less defined and the associated shower activity is decreasing. Upper-level winds are not conducive for development and the low will most likely degenerate into a trough of low pressure while it moves westward across the Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has diminished and development of this system is not likely to occur as it moves westward or west-northwestward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-09-13 13:37:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131137 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Edouard, located about 1100 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. The area of low pressure that was over Florida yesterday is now located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Shower activity has not become any better organized, and upper-level winds are not favorable for significant development as the system moves generally westward during the next few days. The Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft scheduled for today is likely to be canceled. Locally heavy rains associated with the low will continue over portions of southern Florida and the Florida Keys through today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has become a little less organized this morning. Some development of this system is still possible before it moves westward or west-northwestward at around 10 mph into an area unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave over the western Gulf of Mexico is gradually moving inland over northeastern Mexico, and additional development is not anticipated. Locally heavy rains and gusty winds are likely to continue over portions of eastern Mexico and extreme southern Texas today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-09-13 07:19:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 130519 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SAT SEP 13 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Edouard, located about 1200 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure centered over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico about 90 miles west of Naples, Florida, remains poorly organized. Upper-level winds appear unfavorable for significant development as the system moves generally westward during the next few days. Nevertheless, this system will continue to be closely monitored, and an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low later today, if necessary. Locally heavy rains associated with the low will continue over portions of southern Florida and the Florida Keys through today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located southwest of the Cape Verde Islands continues to show signs of organization. Some development of this system is possible during the next day or so before it moves westward or west-northwestward at around 10 mph into an area unfavorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico has changed little in organization during the past few hours. However, surface pressures are low in this area, and some development could occur before the system moves into eastern Mexico later today. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are likely to spread over portions of eastern Mexico today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-09-13 01:33:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 122333 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT FRI SEP 12 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Edouard, located about 1200 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Shower activity associated with the broad area of low pressure centered over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico west of Fort Myers Florida remains poorly organized. Upper-level winds appear unfavorable for significant development as the system moves generally westward during the next few days. Nevertheless, this system will continue to be closely monitored, and an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low on Saturday, if necessary. Locally heavy rains associated with the low will continue over portions of southern Florida and the Florida Keys tonight and Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located south of the Cape Verde Islands continues to show signs of organization. This system, however, is forecast to move westward or west-northwestward at around 10 mph toward an area unfavorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Shower activity has increased this afternoon in association with a tropical wave over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Surface observations indicate that pressures are low in this area, and some additional development could occur before the system moves into eastern Mexico later tonight or on Saturday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are likely to spread over portions of eastern Mexico tonight and Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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