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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-09-11 01:31:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 102330 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite images indicate that the shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure centered about 650 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands has increased and become a little better organized this evening. This system is now moving toward an area more favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two while the low moves toward the west-northwest and northwest at about 15 mph over the open Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A weak area of low pressure has formed near the northwestern Bahamas, and its associated shower activity is showing some signs of organization. However, the environment is forecast to become unfavorable for significant development while the low moves slowly westward toward southern Florida. If necessary, an Air Force plane will investigate this system tomorrow. Regardless of development, this low will bring heavy rains over portions of southern Florida and the Florida Keys during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-09-10 19:44:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 101744 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 600 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands remains disorganized. While tropical cyclone formation is not anticipated today, environmental conditions could become somewhat more favorable for development by later in the week while the low moves toward the west-northwest and northwest at about 15 mph over the open Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers over the Bahamas and the adjacent Atlantic are associated with a weak surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-09-10 13:40:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 101140 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is located about 600 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, with the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remaining disorganized. While tropical cyclone formation is not anticipated today, environmental conditions could become somewhat more favorable for development by later in the week while the low moves toward the west-northwest and northwest at about 15 mph over the open Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers over the Bahamas and the adjacent Atlantic are associated with a weak surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be very slow to occur while it moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-09-10 07:25:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 100524 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is located about 500 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with this low has changed little in organization during the past few hours. While tropical cyclone formation is not anticipated today, environmental conditions could become somewhat more favorable for development by later in the week while the low moves toward the west-northwest and northwest at about 15 mph over the open Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers over the Bahamas and the adjacent Atlantic are associated with a weak surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be very slow to occur while it moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-09-10 01:32:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 092331 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands. Shower activity associated with this low has not become any better organized since yesterday, and no tropical cyclone formation is anticipated tonight or Wednesday. However, environmental conditions could become a little more favorable for development by later in the week while the low moves toward the west-northwest and northwest at about 15 mph over the open Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Bahamas and the adjacent Atlantic are associated with a weak trough. Surface pressures are not falling in the area, and development, if any, will be very slow to occur. This system is forecast to move toward the west at about 10 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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