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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-08-23 19:42:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 231742 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SAT AUG 23 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Preliminary data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and satellite wind data indicate that the disturbance located between Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas continues to lack a well-defined surface circulation. However, conditions are still expected to be favorable for the development of a tropical depression or tropical storm later today or Sunday. The Hurricane Hunter aircraft will continue to investigate the system this afternoon. This disturbance is forecast to move northwestward over or near the southeastern Bahamas today, and over or near the central Bahamas Sunday and Sunday night. Heavy rains and gusty winds are expected to continue over Puerto Rico and Hispaniola today. Winds to tropical storm force and heavy rains are expected to spread over the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the central Bahamas through Sunday night. These rains could cause life- threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Interests in the Turks and Caicos and all of the Bahamas should monitor the progress of this disturbance, since tropical storm watches and warnings could be required with little advance notice. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-08-23 16:21:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 231421 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1025 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special outlook issued to discuss results of aircraft reconnaissance mission. Updated...Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and satellite imagery indicate that the disturbance located near Hispaniola continues to lack a well-defined surface circulation. As a result, advisories are not being initiated at this time. However, environmental conditions are favorable for the development of a tropical depression or tropical storm later today or Sunday. Another Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon. This disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward over or near the southeastern Bahamas today, and over or near the central Bahamas Sunday and Sunday night. Heavy rains and gusty winds are expected to continue over Puerto Rico and Hispaniola today. Winds to tropical storm force and heavy rains are expected to spread over the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the central Bahamas through Sunday night. These rains could cause life- threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Interests in the Turks and Caicos and all of the Bahamas should monitor the progress of this disturbance, since tropical storm watches and warnings could be required with little advance notice. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-08-23 13:40:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 231140 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite imagery indicates that a surface circulation could be organizing near the northern coast of the Dominican Republic in association with the area of disturbed weather near Hispaniola. This system continues to produce shower and thunderstorm activity, and environmental conditions are favorable for the development of a tropical depression or tropical storm today or Sunday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating the system. This disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward over or near the southeastern Bahamas today, and over or near the central Bahamas on Sunday. Heavy rains and gusty winds are expected to continue over Puerto Rico and Hispaniola today. Winds to tropical storm force and heavy rains are expected to spread over the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the central Bahamas through Sunday. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Interests in the Turks and Caicos and all of the Bahamas should monitor the progress of this disturbance, since tropical storm watches and warnings could be required with little advance notice. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-08-23 07:32:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 230532 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite and surface data indicate that the area of disturbed weather near Hispaniola still lacks a well-defined surface circulation. However, thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization and environmental conditions are favorable for the development of a tropical depression or storm today or Sunday. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward over or near the southeastern Bahamas today, and over or near the central Bahamas on Sunday. Heavy rains and gusty winds are expected to continue over Puerto Rico and Hispaniola today. Winds to tropical storm force and heavy rains are expected to spread over the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Central Bahamas through Sunday. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in the mountainous areas of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this morning. Interests in the Turks and Caicos and all of the Bahama Islands should monitor the progress of this disturbance, since tropical storm watches and warnings could be required with little advance notice. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-08-23 01:34:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 222334 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigating the area of disturbed weather near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola reported winds of tropical storm force over the open waters north of those islands. However, the aircraft data and surface observations indicate that the system still lacks a well-defined surface circulation. Another Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Saturday morning, if necessary. Showers and thunderstorms associated with the system are gradaully becoming better organized, but the proximity of the system to Hispaniola could limit development tonight. Conditions are expected to become more conducive for development when the disturbance moves near or over the southeastern Bahamas on Saturday. Gusty winds and heavy rains are expected across Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands tonight, and over portions of Hispaniola and the southeastern and central Bahamas tonight and Saturday. These heavy rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in the mountainous areas of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Interests in the southeastern and central Bahamas should monitor the progress of this disturbance, since tropical storm watches or warnings could be required with little advance notice. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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