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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-08-22 22:49:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 222049 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 450 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special outlook issued to discuss results of aircraft reconnaissance mission. Updated...An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is continuing to investigate the area of disturbed weather moving over and north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Aircraft reports indicate that the system is producing winds of tropical storm force over the open waters north of those islands, although the aircraft data and surface observations indicate that the system still lacks a well-defined surface circulation. Given the lack of a well-defined surface circulation, tropical cyclone advisories are not being initiated at this time. The overall organization of the showers and thunderstorms has been increasing today, but the proximity of the system to Hispaniola could limit development tonight. Conditions for development are expected to be more conducive when the disturbance moves near or over the southeastern Bahamas on Saturday. Gusty winds and heavy rains are expected across Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands tonight, and over portions of Hispaniola and the southeastern and central Bahamas tonight and Saturday. Interests in the southeastern and central Bahamas should monitor the progress of this disturbance, since tropical storm watches or warnings could be required with little advance notice. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Franklin/Brennan

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Global warming: Heat trapped by greenhouse gases going deep into the Atlantic Ocean

2014-08-22 20:22:00| Climate Ark Climate Change & Global Warming Newsfeed

Summit Voice: Ancient currents that circulate the sun`s energy deep into the Atlantic Ocean may be swallowing up some of the heat trapped by greenhouse gases. In the past decade, the current has intensified, drawing surface heat as deep as mile beneath the surface of the sea, scientists said after analyzing data from a network of ocean buoys. The new findings may help explain why the pace of warming has slowed, and suggest that, when the current reverts to weaker phase, surface temperatures could spike upward...

Tags: the global deep heat

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-08-22 19:59:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 221759 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased during the past few hours in association with a small area of low pressure located just north of the Mona Passage between Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic. Satellite wind data and preliminary reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the circulation associated with the low is poorly defined. Some additional development of this system is possible today, but environmental conditions are expected to be more conducive for the development of a tropical depression or tropical storm when the disturbance moves near or over the southeastern Bahamas on Saturday. Regardless of whether the system becomes a tropical cyclone, gusty winds and heavy rainfall are expected across Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands today, and over portions of Hispaniola and the southeastern and central Bahamas tonight and Saturday. Interests in the southeastern and central Bahamas should monitor the progress of this disturbance, as tropical storm watches or warnings could be required with short notice. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Global Warming Pause Rooted Deep in Atlantic Ocean

2014-08-22 18:04:00| Climate Ark Climate Change & Global Warming Newsfeed

Nature World: Many theories have been suggested to explain why the Earth is currently in a global warming hiatus, from volcanoes to air pollution to sunspots. But new research indicates that this missing heat is trapped deep in the Atlantic Ocean. Scientists from the University of Washington (UW) say that heat from the surface is plunging nearly a mile down in the north and south Atlantic, affecting the balance between incoming heat and heat radiated back into the atmosphere. Despite the fact that greenhouse...

Tags: global deep ocean warming

 

Atlantic slows warming, temperature rises seen resuming from 2030: Study

2014-08-22 16:00:00| Climate Ark Climate Change & Global Warming Newsfeed

Reuters: The Atlantic Ocean has masked global warming this century by soaking up vast amounts of heat from the atmosphere in a shift likely to reverse from around 2030 and spur fast temperature rises, scientists said. The theory is the latest explanation for a slowdown in the pace of warming at the Earth's surface since about 1998 that has puzzled experts because it conflicts with rising greenhouse gas emissions, especially from emerging economies led by China. "We're pointing to the Atlantic as the...

Tags: study temperature warming atlantic

 

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