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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-09-01 07:51:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 010551 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located south of Campeche on the western coast of the Yucatan Peninsula is producing a large area of showers and scattered thunderstorms. This system is showing signs of organization while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, and development of a tropical depression will be possible when the center of the disturbance moves over the warm waters of the Bay of Campeche later today and into Tuesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of development, this system will produce heavy rainfall across the Yucatan Peninsula and southeastern Mexico today and Tuesday, and across portions of eastern mainland Mexico on Tuesday and Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-09-01 01:30:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 312330 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite and surface data indicate that a broad area of low pressure has formed in association with a tropical wave moving across the Yucatan Peninsula. The low is forecast to move over the waters of the eastern Bay of Campeche early Monday, where environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development. This system has the potential to become a tropical depression while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next two to three days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-08-31 19:30:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 311730 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave over the eastern Yucatan Peninsula and Belize has become a little better organized over the past few hours. However, land interaction is expected to limit significant development while the disturbance moves across the Yucatan peninsula later today and tonight. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development once the system moves into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-08-31 13:33:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 311133 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with a tropical wave over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Land interaction will limit significant development while the disturbance moves across the Yucatan peninsula today and tonight. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development once the system moves into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-08-31 07:46:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 310546 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with a tropical wave over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Land interaction will limit significant development while the disturbance moves across the Yucatan peninsula today and tonight. However, environmental conditions are expected to be become marginally conducive for some gradual development once the system moves into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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