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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-05 13:45:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 051145 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 5 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the central tropical Atlantic about 900 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula are associated with a surface trough and an upper-level disturbance. Locally heavy rains are likely to continue today over that area. The system is forecast to move northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico later today, then move slowly northward or northeastward over the western or central Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are only expected to be marginally conducive for tropical cyclone formation, but some slow development is possible while the system moves across the Gulf of Mexico through the middle of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-05 07:08:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 050508 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Sep 5 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the central tropical Atlantic about 900 miles east of the Leeward Islands. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula are associated with a surface trough and an upper-level disturbance. Locally heavy rains are likely to continue today over that area. The system is forecast to move northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico later today, then move slowly northward or northeastward over the western or central Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds are only expected to be marginally conducive for tropical cyclone formation, but some slow development is possible while the system moves across the Gulf of Mexico through the middle of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-05 01:37:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 042337 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 4 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the central tropical Atlantic less than 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands. A weak surface trough over portions of the western Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico interacting with an upper-level trough located over the Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The disturbance is forecast to move northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, then move slowly northward or northeastward over the western or central Gulf of Mexico Monday and Tuesday. Upper-level winds are only expected to be marginally conducive for development of this system through Wednesday, followed by unfavorable environmental conditions thereafter. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and northern Central America through Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-04 19:47:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 041747 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Sep 4 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the central tropical Atlantic about 1100 miles east of the Leeward Islands. A weak surface trough over portions of the western Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. The disturbance is forecast to move northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, then moved northward or northeastward over the western or central Gulf of Mexico Monday and Tuesday. Unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to limit development through Monday, but environmental conditions could become marginally favorable for some gradual development on Tuesday or Wednesday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and northern Central America through Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-04 13:41:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 041141 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Sep 4 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Larry, located over the central tropical Atlantic about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. A surface trough over portions of Central America and the southern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This system is expected to move northwestward during the next day or so, bringing locally heavy rains to these areas. The disturbance is forecast to emerge over the southwestern or south-central Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, and then move northward or northeastward over the central Gulf of Mexico through the middle of next week. Unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to limit development through Monday, but environmental conditions could become marginally favorable for some gradual development on Tuesday or Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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