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Hurricane Delta Public Advisory Number 5A

2020-10-06 01:42:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM EDT Mon Oct 05 2020 000 WTNT31 KNHC 052342 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Delta Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020 800 PM EDT Mon Oct 05 2020 ...DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT DELTA HAS BECOME A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 79.6W ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM SSW OF NEGRIL JAMAICA ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSE OF GRAND CAYMAN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cuba province of Pinar del Rio * Tulum to Rio Lagartos Mexico * Cozumel A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cuban province of Artemisa * Isle of Youth A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac * Isle of Youth A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Cuba province of La Habana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Delta was located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 79.6 West. Delta is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A faster northwestward motion is expected Tuesday through Wednesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Delta is expected to pass southwest of the Cayman Islands early Tuesday, and approach the northeastern portion of the Yucatan peninsula and the Yucatan Channel Tuesday afternoon or evening. Delta is forecast to move over the southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night or early Wednesday, and be over the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday and Wednesday night. Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional rapid strengthening is expected during the next day or so, and Delta is expected to be a major hurricane when it nears the Yucatan Peninsula. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (25 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure estimated from data provided by the NOAA reconnaissance aircraft is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Delta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 4 to 7 feet above normal tide levels along coast of the Yucatan peninsula within the hurricane warning area, near and to right of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands later tonight. Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area in the Yucatan Peninsula Tuesday night, with tropical storm conditions beginning late Tuesday. Hurricane conditions are expected within a portion of the the Hurricane Warning area in western Cuba by late Tuesday night, with tropical storm conditions expected beginning late Tuesday. Hurricane conditions are possible on the Isle of Youth beginning Tuesday afternoon with tropical storm conditions expected by early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area in Cuba on Tuesday. RAINFALL: Through midweek, Delta is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, western Cuba and the northern Yucatan Peninsula. This rainfall could lead to significant flash floods and mudslides. Later this week into the weekend, Delta is expected to bring heavy rainfall across portions of the central Gulf Coast into the southeastern United States. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Hurricane Delta Graphics

2020-10-06 01:42:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 05 Oct 2020 23:42:34 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 05 Oct 2020 21:33:30 GMT

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Tropical Storm Delta Forecast Discussion Number 5

2020-10-05 22:56:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM EDT Mon Oct 05 2020 000 WTNT41 KNHC 052055 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Delta Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020 500 PM EDT Mon Oct 05 2020 Visible satellite imagery shows that the convective banding of Delta has continued to quickly improve since this morning. The primary convective band now wraps entirely around the center, with what appears to be a banding-type eye feature occasionally noted. There are some dry slots between the convective bands but those appear to be gradually filling in. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft currently collecting data in the storm environment found peak SFMR winds of 55 kt during its first pass through the center from northwest to southeast. The plane also reported a minimum pressure of 983 mb, much lower than previously estimated. The aircraft also observed an 18 nmi-wide-eye that was open to the west-northwest. Assuming that there are stronger winds yet to be sampled in the northeastern quadrant, the initial intensity has been raised to 60 kt. Delta is situated within a very conducive environment for strengthening. The storm will be moving over SSTs of 29-30 degrees Celsius and the vertical wind shear is forecast to remain 5 kt or less while Delta traverses the northwestern Caribbean. These conditions are expected to allow for rapid strengthening over the next 24 to 36 hours. The SHIPS Rapid Intensification Index gives a better than 50 percent chance of a 35-40 kt increase in wind speed over the next 24 hours. The NHC intensity forecast follow suit by calling for rapid intensification over the next day or so, and Delta is forecast to be a major hurricane when is passes near or over the northeastern portion of the Yucatan peninsula. Once the storm reaches the central Gulf of Mexico in 60-72 hours, increasing southwestern vertical wind shear and cooler shelf waters over the northern Gulf are likely to result in some reduction in wind speed as the system nears the northern Gulf coast. Although there is still significant uncertainty regarding Delta's intensity when it nears the northern Gulf coast, it is becoming increasing likely that the system will pose a significant wind and storm surge threat to a portion of that area. The center has jogged southward again this afternoon, which appears to be primarily due to the system organizing rather than a true storm motion. The initial motion estimate remains an uncertain 275/7 kt. Delta should begin moving west-northwestward this evening, and a west-northwestward to northwestward motion around the southwestern portion of a deep-layer ridge to its northeast is expected over the next couple of days. The more southward initial position and more ridging over the eastern Gulf of Mexico has resulted in a significant westward shift in the track envelope through the first 60-72 hours. The NHC has been adjusted in that direction, and this has required the issuance of a Hurricane Warning for the northeastern portion of the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico. After 72 hours, a mid- to upper-level trough is forecast to develop over Texas which should cause Delta to turn northward and then north-northeastward toward the northern Gulf Coast. Although the track forecast has not changed much during the latter portion of the period, there is more cross-track spread in the model guidance than before, which has increased the uncertainty regarding potential landfall and the timing of Delta's approach to the northern Gulf Coast. Key Messages: 1. Dangerous storm surge and hurricane conditions are expected within portions of the northern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and are possible in extreme western Cuba beginning Tuesday night, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect. 2. Heavy rainfall will affect portions of Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, western Cuba and the northern Yucatan Peninsula during the next few days. This rainfall could lead to significant flash flooding and mudslides. 3. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the Cayman Islands beginning tonight or early Tuesday, and a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect. 4. Delta is forecast to approach the northern Gulf Coast late this week as a hurricane. While there is large uncertainty in the track and intensity forecasts, there is an increasing risk of dangerous storm surge, wind, and rainfall hazards along the coast from Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle beginning Thursday night or Friday. Residents in these areas should ensure they have their hurricane plan in place and monitor updates to the forecast of Delta. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/2100Z 16.2N 79.4W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 06/0600Z 17.1N 80.9W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 06/1800Z 19.0N 83.5W 95 KT 110 MPH 36H 07/0600Z 21.0N 86.2W 105 KT 120 MPH 48H 07/1800Z 22.6N 88.7W 105 KT 120 MPH 60H 08/0600Z 23.7N 90.6W 105 KT 120 MPH 72H 08/1800Z 24.8N 91.5W 95 KT 110 MPH 96H 09/1800Z 28.5N 91.5W 85 KT 100 MPH 120H 10/1800Z 33.0N 89.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND $$ Forecaster Brown

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Tropical Storm Delta Graphics

2020-10-05 22:55:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 05 Oct 2020 20:55:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 05 Oct 2020 20:55:18 GMT

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Tropical Storm Delta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

2020-10-05 22:53:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 05 2020 000 FONT11 KNHC 052053 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM DELTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL262020 2100 UTC MON OCT 05 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DELTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 19(26) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 19(28) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 12(28) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 24(37) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 25(43) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 26(47) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 14(20) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 22(50) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 12(22) BURAS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 23(41) 10(51) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 24(34) JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) JACKSON MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 25(52) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 15(25) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 37(64) 11(75) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 25(31) 9(40) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 6(22) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 25(50) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 13(22) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 29(32) 23(55) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 13(26) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 16(32) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 20(47) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 10(22) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) 20(49) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 11(24) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 34(57) 7(64) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 22(28) 7(35) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 3(19) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 13(28) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) FORT POLK LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 13(35) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) LAKE CHARLES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 27(33) 10(43) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 7(19) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 8(20) JASPER TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) JASPER TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 8(20) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) KOUNTZE TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 9(27) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 4(26) GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) GALVESTON TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) HOUSTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) HOUSTON TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) FREEPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 18(28) 4(32) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) GFMX 280N 950W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 7(23) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 3(17) MATAGORDA TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) MATAGORDA TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 1(13) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ROCKPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 1(19) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) GFMX 270N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 7(16) 1(17) GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 9(27) 2(29) X(29) MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) MERIDA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) COZUMEL MX 34 X 3( 3) 65(68) 11(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) 37(37) 14(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) 17(17) 11(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) BELIZE CITY 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUANAJA 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 5( 5) 70(75) 4(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) 31(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) CP SAN ANTONIO 64 X X( X) 12(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) HAVANA 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ISLE OF PINES 34 1 10(11) 16(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) ISLE OF PINES 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CIENFUEGOS 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 34 4 61(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) GRAND CAYMAN 50 1 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GRAND CAYMAN 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MONTEGO BAY 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 18(31) PENSACOLA NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) PENSACOLA NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 22(47) KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) KEESLER AB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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