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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-30 01:46:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 292346 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Sep 29 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located several hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Victor, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves slowly west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. Afterwards, environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have mostly diminished with an area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter, located several hundred miles south of the coast of Newfoundland. This low is becoming poorly defined while moving northeast over cooler waters and into a region of strong upper-level winds. Further development is no longer anticipated. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Victor are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Victor are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Papin
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-29 19:43:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 291743 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Sep 29 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located several hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Twenty, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it drifts west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter located several hundred miles south of the coast of Newfoundland continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is moving northeastward over cooler waters and into a region of very strong upper-level winds, and significant development is not anticipated. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-29 19:39:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 291739 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 29 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms, and environmental conditions are gradually becoming less conducive for development. The low is forecast to meander off the coast of southwestern Mexico today and tonight, and then move slowly toward the west-northwest at about 5 mph away from the coast of Mexico on Thursday and Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by the weekend while the system moves generally westward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-29 13:31:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 291131 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Sep 29 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing limited shower activity. Environmental conditions have become less conducive for development, and the chances of tropical cyclone formation are decreasing. The low is forecast to meander off the coast of southwestern Mexico today, and then move slowly toward the west-northwest at about 5 mph away from the coast of Mexico on Thursday and Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A broad area of low pressure has formed several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development during the next several days while the system moves generally westward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-29 13:21:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 291121 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Sep 29 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. Satellite images indicate that showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in association with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. If the current trends continue, advisories will likely be initiated on a tropical depression or tropical storm later today. This system is expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the eastern Atlantic during the next several days. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a a trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Development of this system appears less likely due to the interaction with the larger low pressure area located to its east. The system is forecast to drift west-northwestward over the tropical central Atlantic during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter located several hundred miles south of the coast of Newfoundland is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is moving northeastward into a region of very strong upper-level winds, and significant development is not anticipated. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2 $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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