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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-28 01:42:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 272342 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. A well-defined low pressure system associated with the remnants of Peter is located a few hundred miles east of Bermuda. Although shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, environmental conditions are expected to remain marginally conducive for a short-lived tropical depression to form tonight or Tuesday while the system moves northeastward at about 10 mph. By Wednesday, however, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located just offshore the west coast of Africa continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a couple of days while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-28 01:20:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 272320 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 27 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this disturbance during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form during the latter part of the week while the system moves slowly northwestward or northward well offshore of the coast of mainland Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-27 21:06:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
751 ABNT20 KNHC 271906 CCB TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021 Corrected geographic reference for the remnants of Peter For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. The area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter is located a few hundred miles east of Bermuda. The low has become better defined today, and the shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little better organized. Any further increase in organization could result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression, while it moves northeastward at about 10 mph. By Wednesday, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few of days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave located just offshore the west coast of Africa is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-27 20:42:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 271717 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 27 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some gradual development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form during the latter part of the week while it moves slowly northwestward or northward well offshore of the coast of mainland Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-27 19:51:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 271751 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. The area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter has become better defined today, and the shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little better organized. Any further increase in organization could result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression, while it moves northeastward at about 10 mph. By Wednesday, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few of days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave located just offshore the west coast of Africa is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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