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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-12 07:51:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 120551 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Paulette and Tropical Storm Rene, both located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen, located near southern Florida. A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible while it moves westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is forecast, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of disturbed weather, associated with a tropical wave, is located between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions could support development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system moves slowly westward. After that, Upper-level winds could become less conducive for development by Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-12 07:12:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 120512 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Sep 11 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a little more than 600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next day or two before it interacts with, and is possibly absorbed by, a larger weather disturbance to its east-southeast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another area of low pressure is located several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. This system is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the west of the center of the the low. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high..70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-12 01:24:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 112324 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Sep 11 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Paulette and Tropical Storm Rene, both located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Nineteen, located near southern Florida. A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible while it moves westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is forecast, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of disturbed weather, associated with a tropical wave, is located just off of the west coast of Africa. Environmental conditions could support development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system moves slowly westward. Upper-level winds could become less conducive for development by Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-12 01:12:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 112312 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Sep 11 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a little more than 600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next day or two before it interacts with, and is possibly absorbed by, a larger weather disturbance to its east-southeast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another area of low pressure is located several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. This system is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the west of the center of the the low. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high..70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-11 19:34:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111734 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Sep 11 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located about 500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains minimal. Some development of this system, however, is still possible during the next day or two before it interacts with, and possibly becomes absorbed by, a larger weather disturbance to its east-southeast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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