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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-06-23 01:50:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 222350 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located more than 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little better organized during the past day. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development and this system could become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce showers and thunderstorms. Although this system has changed little in organization since this morning, gradual development is possible and a tropical depression could form during the next two to three days. The disturbance is forecast to move westward over cooler waters later this week, which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the coast of Mexico in a day or two. Some development is expected after that time, and the system could become a tropical depression by late this week as the disturbance moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-06-23 01:21:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 222321 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly-developed Subtropical Depression Four, located several hundred miles southeast of Cape Cod, Massachusetts Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Subtropical Depression Four are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Depression Four are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-06-22 22:02:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 222002 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 405 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the development of a Subtropical Depression over the northwestern Atlantic. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a well-defined low pressure system located about 350 miles southeast of Cape Cod, Massachusetts, has continued to get better organized today, and a subtropical depression appears to be forming. If these trends continue, advisories will be initiated on this system at 500 PM AST this afternoon. This system is expected to move eastward and northeastward away from the United States during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-06-22 19:58:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 221758 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a well-defined low pressure system located about 320 miles southeast of Cape Cod, Massachusetts, has become better organized today. The low is moving slowly eastward over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, and if this recent development trend continues, then a short-lived subtropical depression or subtropical storm could form later today or tonight. The system is expected to weaken as it moves over cold waters by late Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-06-22 19:23:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221723 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and this system could become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, have changed little in organization since yesterday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual additional development, and a tropical depression could form during the next two to three days while the disturbance moves westward. After that time, cooler waters are likely to inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Development is expected to occur after that time, and the system could become a tropical depression by late this week as the disturbance moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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