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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-05-20 19:30:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 201730 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 130 PM EDT Mon May 20 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of Bermuda are showing signs of organization. Although recent satellite wind data suggest that the system currently lacks a well-defined center of circulation, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a short-lived subtropical or tropical cyclone later today or tonight. Conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by late Tuesday, and the disturbance is expected to merge with a cold front on Wednesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently en route to investigate the disturbance. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued by 8 PM EDT today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-05-20 19:07:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201706 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon May 20 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of Guatemala is producing limited shower activity. No development of this system is expected during the next few days, but environmental conditions could favor some slow development later in the week while the disturbance moves slowly westward or west-northwestward well offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-05-20 13:33:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201133 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon May 20 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles south of Guatemala is producing limited shower activity. No development of this system is expected during the next few days, but environmental conditions could favor some slow development later in the week while the disturbance moves slowly westward or west-northwestward well offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-05-20 13:27:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 201127 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 730 AM EDT Mon May 20 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms have increased overnight and this morning in association with a trough of low pressure located about midway between the Bahamas and Bermuda. A low pressure system is expected to form within this area of disturbed weather later today, and this system could become a short-lived subtropical or tropical cyclone by tonight or Tuesday while it moves northward or northeastward. By Wednesday, however, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development, and the system should be absorbed by a cold front. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued by 2 PM EDT today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-05-20 07:39:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 200539 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon May 20 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite-derived wind data indicate that a trough of low pressure has developed within a large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers several hundred miles to the southwest of Bermuda. A low pressure system is expected to form within this area of disturbed weather later today, and possibly develop into a short-lived subtropical or tropical cyclone by tonight or Tuesday while moving northward or northeastward. By Wednesday, however, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development, and the system should become rapidly absorbed by a cold front. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued by 8 AM EDT today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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