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Summary for Tropical Storm Julian (AT1/AL112021)

2021-08-29 16:53:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...TROPICAL STORM JULIAN FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON MONDAY... As of 11:00 AM AST Sun Aug 29 the center of Julian was located near 35.1, -46.8 with movement NE at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm Julian Public Advisory Number 3

2021-08-29 16:53:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Aug 29 2021 000 WTNT31 KNHC 291452 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Julian Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112021 1100 AM AST Sun Aug 29 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM JULIAN FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.1N 46.8W ABOUT 865 MI...1390 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND ABOUT 1115 MI...1795 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julian was located near latitude 35.1 North, longitude 46.8 West. Julian is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). A faster motion toward the northeast and then north over the north Atlantic is expected through Tuesday. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is anticipated through tonight. Weakening should begin on Monday, with Julian likely becoming post-tropical by Monday evening. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Tropical Storm Julian Forecast Advisory Number 3

2021-08-29 16:53:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 000 WTNT21 KNHC 291452 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JULIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112021 1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 46.8W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 80SE 40SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 80SE 40SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 46.8W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 47.8W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 36.9N 43.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 40.0N 39.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 43.6N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 48.0N 36.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 52.2N 38.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.1N 46.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Hurricane Ida Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map

2021-08-29 11:45:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Sun, 29 Aug 2021 09:45:41 GMT

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Hurricane Ida Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics

2021-08-29 11:33:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Sun, 29 Aug 2021 09:33:39 GMT

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