je.st
news
Tag: storm
Summary for Tropical Storm Kevin (EP1/EP112021)
2021-08-12 04:45:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KEVIN WEAKENING... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW FRIDAY MORNING... As of 8:00 PM PDT Wed Aug 11 the center of Kevin was located near 22.0, -118.2 with movement NW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Tags: summary
kevin
storm
tropical
Tropical Storm Kevin Public Advisory Number 19
2021-08-12 04:45:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 11 2021 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 120245 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kevin Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112021 800 PM PDT Wed Aug 11 2021 ...KEVIN WEAKENING... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW FRIDAY MORNING... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.0N 118.2W ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kevin was located near latitude 22.0 North, longitude 118.2 West. Kevin is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and a general northwest or west-northwest motion should continue until dissipation in a few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Kevin is expected to weaken to a tropical depression tomorrow morning and then become a remnant low by Friday morning. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Kevin are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. These swells should diminish along the coast by late Thursday. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Papin/Stewart
Tags: number
public
kevin
storm
Tropical Storm Kevin Forecast Advisory Number 19
2021-08-12 04:43:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 12 2021 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 120243 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112021 0300 UTC THU AUG 12 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 118.2W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 100SE 100SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 180SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 118.2W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 117.7W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.9N 119.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 24.1N 122.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.5N 124.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.1N 126.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 28.7N 128.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 118.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/STEWART
Tags: number
kevin
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Kevin Graphics
2021-08-11 22:55:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 11 Aug 2021 20:55:46 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 11 Aug 2021 20:55:46 GMT
Tags: graphics
kevin
storm
tropical
Tropical Storm Kevin Forecast Discussion Number 18
2021-08-11 22:55:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Wed Aug 11 2021 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 112054 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Kevin Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112021 200 PM PDT Wed Aug 11 2021 Satellite imagery this afternoon shows that Kevin continues to have a large circulation, but that the deep convection is well-removed from the tropical storm's center. A blend of the Dvorak classifications from SAB and TAFB suggest that the system remains with an intensity of 40 kt, which is also supported by 1723Z SATCON estimate of 38 kt. Kevin's short-term movement has been a bit more westward, perhaps due to pulling by the remaining deep convection restricted to its southwestern quadrant. The longer-term initial motion is estimated as 290 degrees at 9 kt. The tropical storm is primarily being steered along the southwestern periphery of a deep tropospheric ridge. However, as the deep convection ceases completely in a day or two, the system will increasingly be steered by the lower tropospheric flow. A motion toward the west-northwest or northwest at a slightly faster forward speed is anticipated until dissipation. The official track forecast is based upon the HFIP Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA), which is midway between the GFS and ECMWF global model solutions but substantially faster than the mesoscale hurricane model output. This new forecast is slightly westward of the previous advisory, due to the somewhat more westward position at the initial time. The tropical storm has already moved across the 26C SST isotherm and is moving toward even cooler water, drier air, and a more stable atmosphere. Additionally, Kevin is being affected by moderate NE tropospheric vertical wind shear. The large system should gradually weaken under these increasingly hostile conditions and it's likely that Kevin will become a remnant low by late Thursday. The official intensity forecast is based upon the IVCN statistical scheme and is nearly the same as the previous advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/2100Z 21.1N 117.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 12/0600Z 22.2N 119.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 12/1800Z 23.4N 121.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 13/0600Z 24.7N 124.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 13/1800Z 26.2N 126.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 14/0600Z 27.9N 128.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 14/1800Z 29.5N 129.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Landsea
Tags: number
discussion
kevin
storm
Sites : [237] [238] [239] [240] [241] [242] [243] [244] [245] [246] [247] [248] [249] [250] [251] [252] [253] [254] [255] [256] next »