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Summary for Tropical Storm Eta (AT4/AL292020)
2020-11-09 21:49:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ETA MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND STRENGTHEN SOME TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... As of 4:00 PM EST Mon Nov 9 the center of Eta was located near 23.7, -84.8 with movement SW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Eta Forecast Advisory Number 38
2020-11-09 21:49:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON NOV 09 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 092049 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 2100 UTC MON NOV 09 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...ARTEMISA...MAYABEQUE...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ALONG THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ETA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 84.8W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 40SE 30SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 75SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 84.8W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 84.2W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.2N 85.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 30SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.4N 85.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.3N 85.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.6N 85.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.5N 85.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 27.2N 85.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 28.0N 85.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 28.6N 85.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 84.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 10/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm Eta Public Advisory Number 38
2020-11-09 21:49:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 PM EST Mon Nov 09 2020 000 WTNT34 KNHC 092049 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Eta Advisory Number 38 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020 400 PM EST Mon Nov 09 2020 ...ETA MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND STRENGTHEN SOME TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 400 PM EST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.7N 84.8W ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM WSW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM N OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The Cuban provinces of La Habana, Artemisa, Mayabeque, Pinar del Rio, and the Isle of Youth A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours. Interests along the Gulf Coast of Florida should monitor the progress of Eta. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM EST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eta was located near latitude 23.7 North, longitude 84.8 West. Eta is moving toward the southwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this motion with some reduction in forward speed is expected to continue through tonight. Little overall motion is forecast on Tuesday and a slow northward motion is expected Tuesday night and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Eta will remain over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico tonight through Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening will be possible tonight and Tuesday. Gradual weakening is expected to begin on Wednesday and then continue through the end of the week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Eta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml. RAINFALL: Eta is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts through Saturday morning: The Bahamas: An additional 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 mm), with isolated maximum storm totals of 15 inches (380 mm). Portions of Cuba: an additional 3 to 5 inches (75 to 125 mm), isolated maximum storm total accumulations of 25 inches (635 mm). Portions of the central and southern Florida peninsula, including the Keys: an additional 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm)), with isolated maximum storm totals of 18 inches (450 mm) in South Florida. Flash flooding and river flooding will be possible in Cuba, along with landslides in areas of higher terrain. Additional flash flooding is possible across inundated urban areas of southeast Florida today. Flash and urban flooding will also be possible for the Bahamas and the remainder of southern and eastern Florida over the next several days. WIND: Gusty conditions will continue across the Florida Keys, south and central Florida, and the northwestern Bahamas today. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area in Cuba tonight and Tuesday. SURF: Swells generated by Eta are expected to affect the north coast of Cuba, the northwestern Bahamas, southern Florida and the Florida Keys during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM EST. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM EST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Eta Graphics
2020-11-09 18:56:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 09 Nov 2020 17:56:35 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 09 Nov 2020 15:24:59 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Eta (AT4/AL292020)
2020-11-09 18:56:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ETA WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... As of 1:00 PM EST Mon Nov 9 the center of Eta was located near 24.2, -84.2 with movement SW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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