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Summary for Tropical Storm Paulette (AT1/AL172020)
2020-09-22 10:58:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...PAULETTE MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST SOUTHEAST OF THE AZORES... As of 9:00 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 the center of Paulette was located near 34.7, -23.7 with movement ENE at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Tropical Storm Paulette Public Advisory Number 41
2020-09-22 10:58:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 900 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 2020 000 WTNT31 KNHC 220858 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 41 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 900 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 2020 ...PAULETTE MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST SOUTHEAST OF THE AZORES... SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.7N 23.7W ABOUT 295 MI...470 KM SE OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was located near latitude 34.7 North, longitude 23.7 West. Paulette is moving toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). An east or east-northeast motion at a slower forward speed is expected through Wednesday. Paulette is then expected to turn southward and southwestward Wednesday night and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Paulette is expected to become post-tropical by Wednesday night or Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm Lowell Information by ATCF XML Prototype
2020-09-22 10:58:18| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at Tue, 22 Sep 2020 08:58:18 GMT. This is only a prototype and the file format may change without notice.
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Tropical Storm Beta Graphics
2020-09-22 10:58:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 08:58:11 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 08:58:12 GMT
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Tropical Storm Beta Forecast Discussion Number 19
2020-09-22 10:57:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020 949 WTNT42 KNHC 220857 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Beta Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL222020 400 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020 Beta's center has continued to move farther inland since making landfall on the southern end of the Matagorda Peninsula around 10 PM CDT last evening. There have not been any surface observations of sustained tropical-storm-force winds, and an earlier ASCAT pass indicated that winds over the water had decreased to near 35 kt. That is Beta's estimated intensity at the moment, with the assumption that those winds are still occurring somewhere over water or within the deep convection near the center. Beta has been moving northwestward, or 315/3 kt. Steering currents around the storm are now collapsing, and Beta is expected to meander during the next 12-24 hours. By this time tomorrow, however, a mid-level trough over west Texas is forecast to begin moving eastward and should scoop Beta up, causing the storm to move toward the east-northeast near or just inland of the upper Texas coast through 36 hours. After that time, Beta is expected to turn northeastward, moving farther inland across Louisiana and Mississippi before dissipating in about 4 days. Because Beta has moved a little farther inland than expected, much of the model trackers have shifted northward, and now only the UKMET and its ensemble mean show Beta's center re-emerging over the extreme northwestern Gulf of Mexico. The new NHC track forecast has been adjusted northward accordingly and generally lies between the HCCA aid and the TVCN multi-model consensus. Now that Beta's center may not move back out over the Gulf, the intensity guidance indicates that the cyclone will gradually weaken during the next few days. However, since a part of the circulation will remain over water and the system could still produce deep convection, the NHC forecast shows Beta maintaining tropical storm status for another 12 hours or so (a scenario which is above all of the guidance). Beta should weaken to a tropical depression in about 24 hours, and it is expected to become a remnant low in 2-3 days when vertical shear is expected to be well over 30 kt. Key Messages: 1. Significant flash and urban flooding is occurring and will continue for the middle and upper Texas coast today. The slow motion of Beta will continue to produce a long duration rainfall event from the middle Texas coast to southern Louisiana. Flash, urban, and minor river flooding is likely. Periods of rainfall will continue into the ArkLaTex region and spread east into the Lower Mississippi Valley and portions of the Southeast through the end of the week. Flash, urban, and isolated minor river flooding is possible. 2. Storm surge flooding will continue throughout the morning, around the times of high tide along portions of the Texas coast within the storm surge warning areas. Residents in these areas should continue to follow advice of local officials. 3. Tropical-storm-force winds will continue near portions of the Texas coast within the warning area today. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0900Z 28.8N 96.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 12H 22/1800Z 28.8N 96.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 24H 23/0600Z 29.1N 95.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 36H 23/1800Z 29.8N 94.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 48H 24/0600Z 30.8N 92.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 60H 24/1800Z 32.1N 90.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 25/0600Z 33.6N 89.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
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