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Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Public Advisory Number 5
2019-11-17 09:39:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2019 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 170839 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212019 300 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2019 ...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.0N 102.2W ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E was located near latitude 10.0 North, longitude 102.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast, and the depression could dissipate or degenerate into a remnant low within the next couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Depression Raymond Public Advisory Number 10
2019-11-17 09:38:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM MST Sun Nov 17 2019 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 170838 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Raymond Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202019 200 AM MST Sun Nov 17 2019 ...RAYMOND WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...RAIN HEADING TOWARD THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.5N 111.6W ABOUT 390 MI...625 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of Raymond. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Raymond was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 111.6 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A faster motion toward the north or north-northeast is expected today, and a turn toward the north-northwest is expected tonight and Monday. On the forecast track, Raymond or its remnants are expected to move near the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula Sunday night or early Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Raymond is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Sunday night or early Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Raymond Public Advisory Number 9
2019-11-17 03:34:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM MST Sat Nov 16 2019 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 170234 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Raymond Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202019 800 PM MST Sat Nov 16 2019 ...RAYMOND SLOWLY WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 112.1W ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of Raymond. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Raymond was located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 112.1 West. Raymond is moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn toward the north and a faster forward speed are expected later tonight or early Sunday, and a turn toward the north-northwest is expected Sunday night and Monday. On the forecast track, Raymond or its remnants are expected to move near the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula late Sunday or early Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Raymond is expected to become a tropical depression when it nears the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula late Sunday, and it should degenerate into a remnant low Sunday night or Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) mainly to the east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Public Advisory Number 4
2019-11-17 03:31:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM CST Sat Nov 16 2019 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 170231 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212019 900 PM CST Sat Nov 16 2019 ...DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...9.8N 102.4W ABOUT 550 MI...880 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E was located near latitude 9.8 North, longitude 102.4 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A slower west to west-northwest motion is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast, and the depression is expected to dissipate within the next few days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Raymond Public Advisory Number 8
2019-11-16 21:35:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM MST Sat Nov 16 2019 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 162035 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Raymond Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202019 200 PM MST Sat Nov 16 2019 ...RAYMOND ALREADY SHOWING SIGNS OF WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 111.8W ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of Raymond. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Raymond was located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 111.8 West. Raymond has been moving little or drifting northward during the past few hours. However, the cyclone should begin a northward track with an increase in forward speed later tonight and Sunday. On the forecast track, Raymond or its remnants are expected to move near the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula late Sunday or early Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast and Raymond is expected to become a tropical depression when it nears the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula late Sunday, and it should degenerate into a remnant low on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) to the north and east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Avila
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