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Hurricane Pablo Public Advisory Number 9
2019-10-27 21:32:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sun Oct 27 2019 000 WTNT33 KNHC 272031 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Pablo Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 500 PM AST Sun Oct 27 2019 ...PABLO STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE BUT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOON... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...44.7N 17.2W ABOUT 650 MI...1050 KM NE OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Pablo was located near latitude 44.7 North, longitude 17.2 West. Pablo is moving toward the north-northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h). A turn to the north then northwest along with a decrease in forward speed is expected tonight through Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected to begin tonight and Pablo should transition to a post-tropical cyclone on Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Hurricane Pablo Public Advisory Number 8
2019-10-27 15:49:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Oct 27 2019 000 WTNT33 KNHC 271449 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Pablo Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 AM AST Sun Oct 27 2019 ...PABLO BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES QUICKLY OVER THE NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...42.8N 18.3W ABOUT 535 MI...865 KM NE OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 32 MPH...52 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Pablo was located near latitude 42.8 North, longitude 18.3 West. Pablo is moving toward the north-northeast near 32 mph (52 km/h), and this motion should continue with a decrease in forward speed today. A turn toward the north and northwest and an additional decrease in forward speed are expected tonight and Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast to begin this afternoon, and Pablo is expected to become post-tropical on Monday. Pablo remains a small tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Pablo Public Advisory Number 7
2019-10-27 09:31:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sun Oct 27 2019 000 WTNT33 KNHC 270831 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Pablo Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 500 AM AST Sun Oct 27 2019 ...PABLO STRENGTHENS WHILE ACCELERATING AWAY FROM THE AZORES... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.7N 20.0W ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM ENE OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pablo was located near latitude 40.7 North, longitude 20.0 West. Pablo is moving toward the northeast near 40 mph (65 km/h), and this motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through this morning. A turn toward the north-northeast and north is forecast this afternoon and tonight, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast to begin this afternoon, and Pablo is expected to become post-tropical by tonight or early Monday. Pablo remains a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km), mainly to the southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Pablo Public Advisory Number 5
2019-10-26 22:31:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Oct 26 2019 000 WTNT33 KNHC 262031 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Pablo Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 500 PM AST Sat Oct 26 2019 ...PABLO STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE... ...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE EASTERN AZORES DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.3N 25.6W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSW OF SANTA MARIA ISLAND IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pablo was located near latitude 36.3 North, longitude 25.6 West. Pablo is moving toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the north- northeast and north is expected on Sunday. On the forecast track, the small core of Pablo will pass near or over the eastern Azores during the next several hours. Maximum sustained winds are now near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Pablo is likely to become extratropical late Sunday or Sunday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Since Pablo is embedded within a large extratropical low, which itself is forecast to bring strong winds to the Azores, the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) has included the effects of this small cyclone in their products. Those products already account for the strong winds and high waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Pablo Public Advisory Number 4
2019-10-26 16:39:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sat Oct 26 2019 000 WTNT33 KNHC 261439 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Pablo Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 AM AST Sat Oct 26 2019 ...PABLO SLIGHTLY STRONGER... ...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE EASTERN AZORES TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.2N 28.1W ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM SSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pablo was located near latitude 35.2 North, longitude 28.1 West. Pablo is moving toward the east near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast and north on Sunday. On the forecast track, the small core of Pablo will pass near or over the eastern Azores tonight. Recent satellite wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds are now near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is anticipated, and Pablo is expected to become an extratropical cyclone on Sunday or Sunday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Since Pablo is embedded within a large extratropical low, which itself is forecast to bring strong winds to the Azores, the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) has included the effects of this small cyclone in their products. Those products already account for the strong winds and high waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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