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Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight Forecast Advisory Number 2
2020-10-25 03:38:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN OCT 25 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 250238 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 0300 UTC SUN OCT 25 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM TULUM TO RIO LAGARTOS...INCLUDING COZUMEL. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PINAR DEL RIO CUBA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TULUM TO RIO LAGARTOS MEXICO * COZUMEL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 83.1W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 83.1W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 83.1W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.2N 83.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 20.0N 83.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.7N 84.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.7N 86.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 23.2N 88.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 25.4N 90.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 31.5N 89.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 83.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 25/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Summary for Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight (AT3/AL282020)
2020-10-25 01:33:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS... As of 8:00 PM EDT Sat Oct 24 the center of Twenty-Eight was located near 18.9, -83.1 with movement NNW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight Public Advisory Number 1A
2020-10-25 01:33:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 24 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 242333 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 24 2020 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.9N 83.1W ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM ESE OF COZUMEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Pinar del Rio Cuba A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of the depression. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight was located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 83.1 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through early Sunday. The system should gradually turn toward the west-northwest with a faster forward speed by Monday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to remain south of western Cuba tomorrow and approach the Yucatan Channel or Yucatan Peninsula late Monday before emerging over the southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and the system is expected to become a tropical storm on Sunday and could become a hurricane over the southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for the depression can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. RAINFALL: Across portions of central and western Cuba, the Cayman Islands, Jamaica, the northeast Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, southern Florida and the Florida Keys, storm total rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts of 12 inches are possible through Wednesday. WIND: Tropical-storm conditions are possible in the watch area on Monday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight Graphics
2020-10-25 01:33:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 24 Oct 2020 23:33:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 24 Oct 2020 21:32:29 GMT
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-25 01:05:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 242305 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 24 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Epsilon, located over the west-central Atlantic Ocean, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight, located over the northwest Caribbean Sea. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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