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Tropical Storm ANDRES Wind Speed Probabilities Number 30

2015-06-04 16:52:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUN 04 2015 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 041452 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012015 1500 UTC THU JUN 04 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDRES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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Summary for Tropical Storm ANDRES (EP1/EP012015)

2015-06-04 16:49:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...ANDRES CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY... As of 8:00 AM PDT Thu Jun 4 the center of ANDRES was located near 20.1, -124.5 with movement E at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm ANDRES Public Advisory Number 30

2015-06-04 16:49:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT THU JUN 04 2015 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 041449 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ANDRES ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012015 800 AM PDT THU JUN 04 2015 ...ANDRES CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 124.5W ABOUT 955 MI...1540 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Andres was located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 124.5 West. Andres is moving toward the east at 3 mph (6 km/h), and a turn toward the east-southeast or southeast is expected during the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Andres is expected to become a remnant low by tonight. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Andres are affecting portions of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula, but should begin to diminish today and Friday. These swells are likely could still cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain

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Tropical Storm ANDRES Forecast Advisory Number 30

2015-06-04 16:48:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUN 04 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 041448 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012015 1500 UTC THU JUN 04 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 124.5W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 95 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......110NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 124.5W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 124.6W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.0N 124.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.7N 123.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.1N 123.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.7N 123.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 124.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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