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Tropical Storm ANDRES Wind Speed Probabilities Number 27

2015-06-03 22:32:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUN 03 2015 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 032032 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012015 2100 UTC WED JUN 03 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDRES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

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Summary for Tropical Storm ANDRES (EP1/EP012015)

2015-06-03 22:32:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...TROPICAL STORM ANDRES REMAINS WELL AWAY FROM LAND... As of 2:00 PM PDT Wed Jun 3 the center of ANDRES was located near 19.9, -125.4 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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Tropical Storm ANDRES Public Advisory Number 27

2015-06-03 22:32:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT WED JUN 03 2015 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 032032 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ANDRES ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012015 200 PM PDT WED JUN 03 2015 ...TROPICAL STORM ANDRES REMAINS WELL AWAY FROM LAND... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.9N 125.4W ABOUT 1015 MI...1635 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Andres was located near latitude 19.9 North, longitude 125.4 West. Andres is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). The system's forward motion should slow down by Thursday morning and Andres should meander Thursday and Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Andres should become a tropical depression by Thursday and remnant low by Friday. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Andres are affecting portions of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea

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Tropical Storm ANDRES Forecast Advisory Number 27

2015-06-03 22:31:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUN 03 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 032031 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012015 2100 UTC WED JUN 03 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 125.4W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 180SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 125.4W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 125.4W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.1N 125.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.0N 125.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.9N 124.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.6N 124.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.9N 123.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 17.9N 121.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 125.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

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