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Tropical Storm Marco Graphics
2020-08-24 04:54:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 24 Aug 2020 02:54:38 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 24 Aug 2020 03:31:58 GMT
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Tropical Storm Marco Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
2020-08-24 04:53:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Mon, 24 Aug 2020 02:53:54 GMT
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Tropical Storm Marco Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2020-08-24 04:53:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 24 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 240253 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARCO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142020 0300 UTC MON AUG 24 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARCO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PANAMA CITY FL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MOBILE AL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GULFPORT MS 34 X 11(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) STENNIS MS 34 X 19(19) 9(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) STENNIS MS 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BURAS LA 34 2 60(62) 3(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) BURAS LA 50 X 17(17) 4(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) BURAS LA 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GFMX 280N 890W 34 87 6(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) GFMX 280N 890W 50 34 20(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) GFMX 280N 890W 64 6 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) JACKSON MS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 34(34) 16(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 19(20) 3(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 10(10) 25(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 22(22) 34(56) 2(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X 4( 4) 10(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 4( 4) 27(31) 4(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 6( 6) 30(36) 4(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) LAKE CHARLES 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 9(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAMERON LA 34 X 3( 3) 12(15) 11(26) 3(29) X(29) X(29) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JASPER TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) KOUNTZE TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 8(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) GALVESTON TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PENSACOLA NAS 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KEESLER AB 34 1 13(14) 2(16) X(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Tropical Storm Marco Forecast Advisory Number 15
2020-08-24 04:51:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 24 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 240251 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARCO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142020 0300 UTC MON AUG 24 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO WEST OF MORGAN CITY HAS BEEN CANCELED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR.... * MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI * LAKE BORGNE A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SABINE PASS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA * OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS * CAMERON TO WEST OF MORGAN CITY A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 87.6W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 87.6W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 87.6W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.0N 88.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.0N 90.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 29.6N 92.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 29.8N 93.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 29.7N 94.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N 87.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 24/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Summary for Hurricane Marco (AT4/AL142020)
2020-08-24 01:57:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...MARCO EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR THE LOUISIANA COAST ON MONDAY... As of 7:00 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 the center of Marco was located near 26.4, -87.6 with movement NNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 991 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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