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Post-Tropical Cyclone IDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 38
2015-09-27 22:32:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 27 2015 000 FONT15 KNHC 272032 PWSAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015 2100 UTC SUN SEP 27 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Post-Tropical Cyclone IDA Forecast Advisory Number 38
2015-09-27 22:31:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 27 2015 000 WTNT25 KNHC 272031 TCMAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015 2100 UTC SUN SEP 27 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 48.7W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 48.7W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 48.5W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 24.1N 50.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 23.9N 52.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 24.0N 55.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 24.5N 57.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 48.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON IDA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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ida
Potential cyclone develops southeast of state as Tropical Storm Malia moves north
2015-09-22 19:22:28| Airlines - Topix.net
Tropical Storm Malia was about 185 miles north of Lisianski Island and 295 miles northwest of Maro Reef moving northwest at 14 mph at 5 a.m. Tuesday. View larger Tropical Storm Malia crossed parts of the Papahanaumokuakea National Monument in the northwest Hawaiian islands Monday, while a new potential tropical cyclone developed southeast of the state.
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north
potential
storm
Post-Tropical Cyclone LINDA Graphics
2015-09-10 23:13:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 10 Sep 2015 20:34:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 10 Sep 2015 21:05:40 GMT
Tags: graphics
linda
cyclone
posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone LINDA Forecast Discussion Number 20
2015-09-10 22:32:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT THU SEP 10 2015 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 102032 TCDEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 200 PM PDT THU SEP 10 2015 Linda is now a swirl of low clouds that has been devoid of deep convection for more than 12 hours. Based on the lack of convection, Linda is now a post-tropical cyclone and this will be the last NHC advisory. The initial intensity is set to 30 kt based on a blend of the latest Dvorak fixes from TAFB and SAB. The circulation of Linda should gradually spin down over the next 2 to 3 days until the cyclone dissipates. The initial motion estimate remains 320/06. The remnant low should gradually turn toward the west-northwest and then toward the west over the next 2 days as the low becomes steered by the low-level flow. A turn to the south of due west is shown at 72 hours. The new NHC track forecast is a little to the north of the previous one based on the latest trends in the track guidance. Large swells from Linda are affecting the Pacific coast of the Baja California peninsula and southern California. These swells could continue for another day or so. In addition, some of Linda's mid- and upper-level moisture is spreading northward into portions of the southwestern U.S., which could trigger locally heavy rainfall. For additional information, please consult products issued by the NOAA Weather Prediction Center and your local NWS forecast office. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEP1.shtml. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/2100Z 26.4N 119.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 11/0600Z 26.9N 119.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 11/1800Z 27.4N 120.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 12/0600Z 27.7N 121.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 12/1800Z 27.8N 122.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 13/1800Z 27.2N 123.2W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan
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