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Tropical Storm Hanna Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

2020-07-26 10:53:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 26 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 260853 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082020 0900 UTC SUN JUL 26 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MCALLEN TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HARLINGEN TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Tropical Storm Hanna Public Advisory Number 14

2020-07-26 10:53:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 400 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 260853 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Hanna Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082020 400 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2020 ...CENTER OF HANNA MOVES INTO NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... ...STORM SURGE WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR THE TEXAS COAST... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.3N 98.9W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM WNW OF MCALLEN TEXAS ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM ENE OF MONTERREY MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued along the Texas coast. The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued north of Baffin bay, Texas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Barra el Mezquital Mexico to Baffin Bay Texas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are occurring within the warning areas. Interests in northeastern Mexico should monitor the progress of Hanna. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hanna was located near latitude 26.3 North, longitude 98.9 West. Hanna is moving toward the west-southwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Hanna should continue to move farther inland over northeastern Mexico today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is expected as the center of Hanna moves farther inland, and the cyclone is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by tonight and dissipate Monday or Monday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) mainly over water to the east of the center. Miller International Airport in McAllen recently reported a wind gust of 54 mph (87 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Hanna can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml. STORM SURGE: Water levels along the Texas coast will gradually subside through this morning. Consult products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office for additional information. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue near the center of Hanna for the next several hours, and along the Texas and northeastern Mexican coast in the warning area for a few more hours. RAINFALL: Hanna is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches through Monday in south Texas and into the Mexican states of Coahuila, Nuevo Leon, and northern Tamaulipas. This rain will produce life-threatening flash flooding, rapid rises on small streams, and isolated minor to moderate river flooding. Hanna is also expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain along the upper Texas and Louisiana coasts. SURF: Swells generated by Hanna will continue to affect much of the Texas and Louisiana coasts for another day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today into this evening across parts of south Texas. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Tropical Storm Hanna Forecast Advisory Number 14

2020-07-26 10:51:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 26 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 260851 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082020 0900 UTC SUN JUL 26 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED ALONG THE TEXAS COAST. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED NORTH OF BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARRA EL MEZQUITAL MEXICO TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS. INTERESTS IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HANNA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 98.9W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 98.9W AT 26/0900Z...INLAND AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 98.5W...INLAND FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 25.8N 99.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 25.1N 101.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 24.5N 102.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 98.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 26/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Summary for Tropical Storm Hanna (AT3/AL082020)

2020-07-26 09:57:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...CENTER OF HANNA MOVES INTO NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... ...STORM SURGE WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR THE TEXAS COAST... As of 4:00 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 the center of Hanna was located near 26.3, -98.9 with movement WSW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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Hurricane Hanna Public Advisory Number 13A

2020-07-26 09:08:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 100 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 260707 CCB TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Hanna Intermediate Advisory Number 13A...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082020 100 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2020 Corrected to discontinue part of the Storm Surge Warnng ...HANNA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.5N 98.5W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NW OF MCALLEN TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...115 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane Warning has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning along the Texas coast from Port Mansfield to Baffin Bay. The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued along the Texas coast from Port Aransas to Port O'Connor. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Port Mansfield to Port Aransas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Barra el Mezquital Mexico to Port O'Connor Texas A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 24 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are occurring within the warning areas. Interests elsewhere along the Texas coast should monitor the progress of Hanna. Interests in northeastern Mexico should also monitor the progress of this tropical storm. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hanna was located near latitude 26.5 North, longitude 98.5 West. Hanna is moving toward the west-southwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Hanna should continue to move farther inland over southern Texas this morning and move into northeastern Mexico later today. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (115 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is expected today as Hanna moves farther inland. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. A Texas Mesonet Station northeast of Edcouch, Texas, recently reported a sustained wind of 48 mph (77 km/h) and a wind gust of 68 mph (109 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Hanna can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Baffin Bay to Port Aransas including Baffin Bay, Corpus Christi Bay...4-6 ft Port Mansfield to Baffin Bay...2-4 ft Port Aransas to Port O'Connor including Aransas Bay...2-4 ft Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Mansfield...1-3 ft North of Port O'Connor to High Island including Galveston Bay...1-2 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the landfall location. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occuring in portions of the tropical storm warning area and will spread farther inland overnight and Sunday. RAINFALL: Hanna is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches through Monday in south Texas and into the Mexican states of Coahuila, Nuevo Leon, and northern Tamaulipas. This rain will produce life-threatening flash flooding, rapid rises on small streams, and isolated minor to moderate river flooding. Hanna is also expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain along the upper Texas and Louisiana coasts. SURF: Swells generated by Hanna will continue to affect much of the Texas and Louisiana coasts for another day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible overnight over parts of the lower to middle Texas coastal plain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven

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