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Remnants of Ten Forecast Discussion Number 6
2020-08-02 04:38:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM CVT Sun Aug 02 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 020238 TCDAT5 Remnants Of Ten Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102020 200 AM CVT Sun Aug 02 2020 Scatterometer data around 2130 UTC confirmed that the system north of the Cabo Verde islands no longer has a well-defined center. The scatterometer data showed that the southwest semicircle of the system consists of only light and variable winds, and the strongest winds associated with the system have decreased to around 20 kt. The system lacks deep convection and a combination of cool underlying water and a dry surrounding environment will prevent regeneration. This is the last NHC advisory on this system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/0300Z 19.5N 25.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...REMNANTS OF TEN 12H 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Remnants of Ten Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2020-08-02 04:38:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 02 2020 000 FONT15 KNHC 020238 PWSAT5 REMNANTS OF TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102020 0300 UTC SUN AUG 02 2020 AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF TEN WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 25.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 KTS...25 MPH...35 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Summary for Remnants of Ten (AT5/AL102020)
2020-08-02 04:38:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DEPRESSION DISSIPATES... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM... As of 2:00 AM CVT Sun Aug 2 the center of Ten was located near 19.5, -25.0 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 25 mph.
Remnants of Ten Public Advisory Number 6
2020-08-02 04:38:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM CVT Sun Aug 02 2020 599 WTNT35 KNHC 020238 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Remnants Of Ten Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102020 200 AM CVT Sun Aug 02 2020 ...DEPRESSION DISSIPATES... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM... SUMMARY OF 200 AM CVT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 25.0W ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM NNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM CVT (0300 UTC), the remnants of Ten were located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 25.0 West. The system no longer has a well-defined center and has dissipated. The remnant trough should move generally west-northwestward for the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. The winds associated with the remnants of the depression should continue to decrease through Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Remnants of Ten Forecast Advisory Number 6
2020-08-02 04:38:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 02 2020 598 WTNT25 KNHC 020238 TCMAT5 REMNANTS OF TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102020 0300 UTC SUN AUG 02 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 25.0W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 25.0W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 24.2W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 25.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW. $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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