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Remnants of Six-E Forecast Discussion Number 5
2020-07-14 22:37:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 142037 TCDEP1 Remnants Of Six-E Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062020 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 A very recent ASCAT-B overpass indicated that the circulation of the tropical depression is no longer closed with light and variable winds evident on its south side. Therefore, the system no longer meets the criteria of a tropical cyclone, and this is the last advisory issued by NHC. The initial intensity remains 25 kt based on the ASCAT data, which showed an area of 20-25 kt winds on the system's north side. The remnants of the depression are currently producing a very limited amount of shower activity, but the associated convection could pulse up and down for another day until the trough moves over cooler waters. The trough is moving westward at about 15 kt and it should continue in that direction for another couple of days until it completely dissipates. For additional information on this system please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/2100Z 18.2N 118.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Remnants of Six-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2020-07-14 22:36:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 142036 PWSEP1 REMNANTS OF SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062020 2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 AT 2100Z THE REMNANTS OF SIX-E WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 118.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS... 30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Summary for Remnants of Six-E (EP1/EP062020)
2020-07-14 22:36:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION OPENS INTO A TROUGH... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Tue Jul 14 the center of Six-E was located near 18.2, -118.0 with movement W at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Remnants of Six-E Public Advisory Number 5
2020-07-14 22:36:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 142036 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Remnants Of Six-E Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062020 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020 ...DEPRESSION OPENS INTO A TROUGH... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 118.0W ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the remnants of Six-E were located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 118.0 West. The remnants are moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h) and they should continue moving in that direction for another day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on this system please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Remnants of Six-E Forecast Advisory Number 5
2020-07-14 22:36:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 142036 TCMEP1 REMNANTS OF SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062020 2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 118.0W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 118.0W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 117.3W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 118.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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