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Remnants of Julio Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2020-09-07 10:38:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 07 2020 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 070838 PWSEP5 REMNANTS OF JULIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152020 0900 UTC MON SEP 07 2020 AT 0900Z THE REMNANTS OF JULIO WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 112.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS... 30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER BROWN

Tags: number speed wind julio

 

Remnants of Julio Forecast Advisory Number 7

2020-09-07 10:38:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 07 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 070838 TCMEP5 REMNANTS OF JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152020 0900 UTC MON SEP 07 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 112.6W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 112.6W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 112.1W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 112.6W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Remnants of Nana Forecast Discussion Number 12

2020-09-04 04:40:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1000 PM CDT Thu Sep 03 2020 000 WTNT41 KNHC 040240 TCDAT1 Remnants Of Nana Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162020 1000 PM CDT Thu Sep 03 2020 Satellite and surface data indicate that Nana's low-level circulation has dissipated over the mountainous terrain of southwestern Guatemala. Therefore, this will be the final NHC advisory on this system. The mid-level remnants are expected to emerge over the eastern Pacific waters near the Gulf of Tehuantepec later tonight or early Friday. The global models indicate that strong upper-level northeasterly flow will prevent re-development over the next couple of days. However, this system could produce locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southeastern and southern coasts of Mexico over the weekend. Additional information on the remnants on Nana can be found in the eastern Pacific basin Tropical Weather Outlook. This product can be found under AWIPS header MIATWOEP, WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC, and on the web at www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWOEP+shtml/ FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/0300Z 15.6N 92.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown

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Remnants of Nana Graphics

2020-09-04 04:39:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 04 Sep 2020 02:39:59 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 04 Sep 2020 02:39:59 GMT

Tags: graphics nana remnants

 

Summary for Remnants of Nana (AT1/AL162020)

2020-09-04 04:39:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...NANA DISSIPATES NEAR THE GUATEMALA/MEXICO BORDER... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 10:00 PM CDT Thu Sep 3 the center of Nana was located near 15.6, -92.0 with movement WSW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

Tags: summary nana remnants at1al162020

 

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