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Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Advisory Number 3
2020-06-30 16:30:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 301430 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042020 1500 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 112.9W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 112.9W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 112.8W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 20.9N 113.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 21.0N 113.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 21.2N 113.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 112.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression Four-E Graphics
2020-06-30 10:36:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 30 Jun 2020 08:36:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 30 Jun 2020 08:36:36 GMT
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Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
2020-06-30 10:35:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 300835 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Four-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020 300 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 Deep convection associated with the depression has waned since last night and is now limited to a small burst displaced more than 75 n mi northeast of the cyclone's low-level center. An ASCAT-B pass at 0517 UTC showed max winds of only 20-25 kt, so the intensity has been lowered to 25 kt. The cyclone is now located over 24 deg C waters and substantial redevelopment or organization of convection is unlikely. It is therefore forecast to become a remnant low later today. The remnant low should then spin down over the course of the next couple of days until it dissipates later this week. The depression has continued to move slowly northwestward, steered by a mid-level ridge to its east. Once the cyclone becomes a remnant low later today, weak low-level steering flow will likely cause the system to meander for a few days until it dissipates. The NHC forecast (both track and intensity) is mostly unchanged from the previous advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0900Z 20.6N 113.2W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 30/1800Z 20.9N 113.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 01/0600Z 21.0N 113.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 01/1800Z 21.2N 113.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 02/0600Z 21.6N 114.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Summary for Tropical Depression Four-E (EP4/EP042020)
2020-06-30 10:34:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 3:00 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 the center of Four-E was located near 20.6, -113.2 with movement SW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Tropical Depression Four-E Public Advisory Number 2
2020-06-30 10:34:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 300834 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020 300 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 ...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.6N 113.2W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 215 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E was located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 113.2 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A slow meandering motion is anticipated for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is forecast to become a remnant low later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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