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Tropical Depression SIX-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2015-07-12 17:54:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1600 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 121554 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062015 1600 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015 AT 1600Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Summary for Tropical Depression SIX-E (EP1/EP062015)

2015-07-12 17:53:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS... As of 9:00 AM PDT Sun Jul 12 the center of SIX-E was located near 13.6, -125.3 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tags: summary tropical depression tropical depression

Tropical Depression SIX-E Public Advisory Number 1

2015-07-12 17:53:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 900 AM PDT SUN JUL 12 2015 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 121553 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062015 900 AM PDT SUN JUL 12 2015 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS... SUMMARY OF 900 AM PDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.6N 125.3W ABOUT 1195 MI...1925 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM PDT (1600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E was located near latitude 13.6 North, longitude 125.3 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A west-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: number public advisory tropical

Tropical Depression SIX-E Forecast Advisory Number 1

2015-07-12 17:53:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1600 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 121553 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062015 1600 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 125.3W AT 12/1600Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 125.3W AT 12/1600Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 124.9W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 14.5N 126.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.6N 127.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.3N 128.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.8N 130.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.5N 133.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 17.8N 136.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 18.2N 138.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 125.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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