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Tropical Depression Six-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2018-06-27 22:34:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUN 27 2018 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 272034 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062018 2100 UTC WED JUN 27 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 5 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 4(14) X(14) 1(15) 15N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 19(20) 9(29) 2(31) 1(32) X(32) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) 1(14) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) 1(19) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Summary for Tropical Depression Six-E (EP1/EP062018)

2018-06-27 22:33:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS, EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM MEXICO... As of 3:00 PM MDT Wed Jun 27 the center of Six-E was located near 13.3, -108.5 with movement WNW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tags: summary tropical depression tropical depression

Tropical Depression Six-E Public Advisory Number 1

2018-06-27 22:33:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 300 PM MDT Wed Jun 27 2018 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 272033 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Six-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062018 300 PM MDT Wed Jun 27 2018 ...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS, EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.3N 108.5W ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 670 MI...1075 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six-E was located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 108.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: number public advisory tropical

Tropical Depression Six-E Forecast Advisory Number 1

2018-06-27 22:33:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUN 27 2018 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 272033 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062018 2100 UTC WED JUN 27 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 108.5W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 108.5W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 107.9W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 14.1N 110.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.1N 112.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.0N 114.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.6N 116.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.5N 119.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 18.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 19.5N 126.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 108.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

Tags: number advisory tropical depression